"The loss of Putin's reputation inspires Ukrainians": what will be the consequences of war in Syria for Ukraine

At the same time, the consequences for Ukraine will probably not be as significant because "battles in Ukraine are also important for the Kremlin," FRIr said.

Nick Reynolds, a researcher of terrestrial military campaigns at the British Royal United Institute of Defense Research (Rusi), believes that all the consequences of the fall of Aleppo and its impact on Damascus regime are still unclear, but the fighting in Syria is much smaller than What is happening in Europe, and it seems unlikely that the military strengthening of Assad will be significant.

Russian planes are active in Syria, but this does not mean that some serious forces have already been attracted, said Valery Romanenko, aviation expert and former Air Force officer of Ukraine. In his opinion, events in Syria are unlikely to have a serious effect in the war in Ukraine. Russian aircraft stationed in the Middle East, "more than sufficient to support terrestrial troops in current limited operations. " Current events in Syria are not quite convenient for the Kremlin.

But Russian troops are moving in Ukraine, so the Russian Federation can allocate some contingent of troops for the Middle East, said Marina Myron, a researcher of military campaigns at the Royal College of London. According to the former representative of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Andriy Zuza, who is now heading the technological department at the London company Prevail, the consequences may be more political.

Any sign that Russia shows weakness in Syria, will seriously affect what is happening in Ukraine, "the loss of Putin's reputation inspires Ukrainians. " In Russia, there are two bases in Syria - Khmeimim and Tartus - which are used as a means of projection of force in the Mediterranean. According to media reports, Russia evacuates its Navy base in Tartus, which may indicate that Bashar Assad regime should not be waiting for reinforcement in the foreseeable future.

Russian ships are likely to move to the Baltic Sea, to Kaliningrad. The insurgents, headed by Hayyat Tahrir Ash-Sham, which the United States is considered terrorist, reflected the attack of Syria Bashar al-Assad's President Army a week ago. The insurgents broke into the second largest city of Aleppo country and the province of the hama in the south. According to the UN estimates for 2022, more than 300,000 civilians were killed in the first 10 years of the war in Syria.

Russia supported Assad regime in the beginning of 2011, when the war began and formally conflict in 2015. The American Center for Strategic and International Research has reported that Russia thus showed "decisive air support for Syrian and Iranian forces", which allowed Assad to strengthen control over the country. But the rebels caught the representatives of Assad regime by surprise.

Apparently, they faced the insufficient resistance of the regime troops, which in 2016 rejected them from Aleppo and the territory of the Hama province. Last Saturday's loyal assad has reported that the rebels had a large -scale attack in several directions in Aleppo and southwest in Idlib. Dozens of regime soldiers were killed.

In the future, the Syrian Human Rights Monitoring Center (SOHR) reported that although the rebels seized several settlements in the ham and approached the city, the regime's power returned control over some settlements closer to the city. Assad troops keep the rebels about 10 km away from the city of Ham. Recall that Russia and the United States collided in the UN because of the war in Syria and almost switched to personality.