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Pavel Bayev political scientist, Professor of the Institute of Peace Research (O...

The course of the war shifted from the dead point. What Putin will focus on now

Pavel Bayev political scientist, Professor of the Institute of Peace Research (Oslo) Battle of Donbas (which became the Central Theater of Miting after the battle for Kyiv was lost due to excessive stretching The turnover and the course of war in Ukraine has shifted from the dead point.

Looking back, we can say that the fierce battle for Severodonetsk and Lisichansk, which was conducted in late June - in early July, may have been the highest achievement of a Russian invasion aimed at destroying Ukraine as an independent state.

Moscow was forced to concentrate its most capable parts and the bulk of heavy weapons to capture the last territories of the Luhansk region, which remained unocal, and the reorientation of these exhausted opportunities to a new attack in Donetsk region was too ambitious, so unrealistic. Regular unprecedented artillery shelling of Bakhmut and Kramatorsk, and even the use of Wagnerians cannot adequately compensate for the lack of land troops.