Wagner's revenge: experts told if there would be an uprising in the Russian Federation after the death of Prigogine

On board the private aircraft were Yevgeny Prigogin and his two deputies - Dmitry Utkin and Valery Chekalov. Proponents of the PVC head are scattered by the curses of those who are guilty of the death of their "heroes", and declare that after such events, they no longer need war. Whether there is a likelihood of new rebellions in Russia against the background of Prigogine's death, Focus learned from experts.

The liquidation of Prigogine - one of the versions of a plane crash in Tver region, which was discussed in the media space - was a matter of honor of Putin personally, says political scientist Oleg Posternak. In a conversation with focus, the expert notes that the political humiliation suffered by the Russian leader in June in connection with the Wagner's rebellion, although unsuccessful, influenced his further decisions.

And the fact that after the uprising, Prigogine felt confident and even appeared on large-scale events, like the African forum in St. Petersburg, finally strengthened the Kremlin leader in the need to "remove" the uncomfortable associate and send a clear signal not only to elites, but by all to the Russians - "for the sake of maintaining the current regime it is ready for everything.

" "After all, in addition to Prigogine and his deputies, there were flight attendants and pilots that were unrelated to the activities of the head of PEC" Wagner. , it was an act of state terrorism. And this means that for the entire population of the Russian Federation it is a specific sign - Putin will not spare anyone, for the sake of achieving his political goals, " - says Posternak. For this reason, political turbulence will not be in the Russian Federation in the near future.

Most likely, according to Posternak, Wagnerivtsi will not take rare actions. First, they do not have resources for this, and secondly, in the Kremlin, after the bad rebellion of Prigogine in June, they did work on mistakes and act on ahead. Yesterday in Rostov-on-Don, the police raised, knowing that some mercenaries would probably be a ward with anger and a desire to retaliate after the death of their leader.

The only thing that can avenge mercenaries is to remove those whom they consider to be involved in what happened. According to political scientist Igor Ritarovich, such a scenario is quite real, although it will not lead to a revolution in the near future. "Inside the system may be scenarios at the level of terrorist acts. They can kill any of the representatives of the Ministry of Defense or those who are considered guilty of the death of Prigoine.

But this will also be a reason for pseudo -revolution. In Russia, I think there is no doubt that Prigogine and the company was killed with the top of the Russian authorities. -"Patsan did," says Focus Ritarorovich. Experts believe that the death of Prigogine can affect the further course of hostilities of the Russian Federation in Ukraine. The financial obligations to them and a lot of time, forces and money invested in their training, so for many military personnel they were a model.

The motivation further wage the war. "The military can think, and why they are fighting, then they were all interrupted like" Wagnerians "and left without respect and financial support?", - Posterak continues. Reitorovich adds that in the future Russia can forget about the active use of mercenaries at the front, and the army of the Russian Federation will have to look for new mechanisms how to recruit people to their ranks.

"The power of the Russian Federation remained the only mechanism - a new wave of mobilization. Because earlier the issues of lack of people at the front were solved with the help of mercenaries. This mechanism did not have a social effect, because mostly such a path was chosen by those who wanted to fight, or joined the army from hopeless But still out of their own will. And now we need to return to mobilization practice. And people have zero motivation.

It can affect the moods within Russian society in the long run, " - says Ritarovich. In addition, the massacre with the top of the Wagnerivtsi, according to experts, should become another confirmation for Ukraine and the West that Putin cannot negotiate. "Prigogine felt carelessly because he received Putin's personal guarantees. There was an agreement that guaranteed his life, said [Alexander] Lukashenko. And now it turns -Which contract with him is unpromising. He will deceive and still make it.