Crisis near Pokrovsk: what managed to do Russian troops in the key direction

The situation near Pokrovsk has deteriorated seriously for the Armed Forces, recognizes the military analyst Konstantin Mashovets. Although the enemy cannot fully fulfill the intended one or in the time ravine. In the Kramatorsk operating direction, the enemy, having completed the next stage of regrouping, continued active offensive actions.

In particular, over several past days, apparently, the advanced units of the 98th Airborne Division (PDD) of the enemy were successful in the city of the city of Yar, where they managed to take control of most of the Channel district (to the intersection and stre.

South of the cities, in the forest area, the units of the 102nd Rifle Regiment (SME) and the 11th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade (ODSBR) did not have significant promotion, although they tried to actively attack and assure the assault to the Novyi neighborhood. So far, at this point, the information that the enemy managed to cross the channel "Siverskyi Donets - Donbas" in the surrounding road to the Konstantinovka - Bakhmut districts - there are also no.

The northwestern cities are units of the 200th Separate Rifle Brigade (OMSBR) and the so-called "volunteer corps" of the enemy try to break through the Bogdanivka-Kalinovka direction in order to continue to enter the October district from the north. By this time, until I have information that the enemy still managed to occupy Kalinovka.

Obviously, the enemy's command at this stage, in general, at the time at the time of Yar - Konstantinovka has to itself for the nearest task - the complete displacement of the advanced units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine west of the channel "Siversky Donets - Donbas" throughout the city of the time of Yar. In fact, the enemy spends in this direction the "frontal displacement" of our troops for the channel.

At this time, it is still far from achieving this result, but significant "shifts" in this respect in it are undoubtedly available. As for me, this is not the best decision, but obviously there is no other way out of the enemy's command. The attempt to bypass the "time" from the south, in the direction of Ivanovo - knocks, at this point, it is unlikely, due to a number of reasons.

For example, from the maintenance of the Armed Forces of control of the area between the Klischivka and the channel (that is, south of the Konstantinovka - Bakhmut road) to the presence of sufficiently fortified positions of the Armed Forces on the channel itself, on both sides of the road that crosses it.

So far, as far as I understand, in this direction the enemy seeks to achieve only local goals - to completely displace our troops for the channel under the general directorate - Bakhmut - the time of Yar - Konstantinovka, within the city of the time of Yar and adjacent to it from the east of the districts.

Not the last role in this plays the limited command of the northern part of the group of troops (UVs) "Yug" in the volume of available capable forces and means (probably part of the grouping of airborne troops/VAT, which operated in this direction The direction is quite possible to 2 parachute regiments/PDPs from the 98th and 106th PDD). In the Pokrovsky direction of the troops (forces) of the enemy group (UV), the "Center" continues stubborn attacks in the northwestern direction.

Probably, the advanced units of the 30th Separate Rifle Brigade (OMSBR) of the enemy, in cooperation with the 35th OMSBR and at least one Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 27th Motorial Division (MSD), most likely-433333 Day to take the village. Novooleksandrivka and move to the north of the railway, towards the village. Lozuvatsk.

In general, as far as I understand, the Ukrainian command has not yet managed to cope with the crisis, which apparently has arisen in almost all the enemy lane of the "Center". To stop the advanced units of the enemy in the direction of the reed - Vozdvizhenko is not possible. Just like the south (in the area of ​​Umansky, in the direction of Yusnobrodivka and two axial directorates - Novoprovskoye - Novoselivka first and towards the village of Sokil).

In addition, after the obvious tactical success of the enemy in the southern part of this strip (Umansky village), in the lane of its 90th Tank Division (TD)-239th TP and 228th SMEs and its 114th OMSBR, The acute "flank problem" for the enemy has decreased significantly - at least from the south. In this respect, the "extreme necessity" for him in the advancement to the border of the falcon - Novoprovske, apparently, gradually disappears, although, of course, it remains sufficiently desirable.

After all, its advanced units are gradually moving to the village. Novoselivka is the first from the other direction - from the south, which is by and large, is even "deeper" in providing the southern flank of the "Operaine" group than the above border. In general, with the further increase of the enemy efforts in this direction (and it is obviously, it will be), we have all the prospects not just tactical, but significant operational troubles.

At this point, in the Pokrovsky operating direction we already have a full-scale tactical crisis, and if the enemy additionally introduces here 2-3 motorized rifle brigades (IAS) + 3-4 SME His tactical success in operational. Obviously, the Armed Forces in this direction is not yet possible to stop or limit the offensive of the enemy, which already has a steady tendency to grow on a scale.

Moreover, as for me, because of its last tactical success in this direction, the "variability" of his possible further actions begins to grow before the enemy's command. In this respect, it is very indicative that the opponent is stubbornly trying to move in the western and northwestern directions, but at the same time "does not force events" in the lane of his 132nd OMSBR, for example, in the direction of Kalinovo or Alexandrov.