Tactical Pause: The Russian Federation prepares reserves for a new offensive north of Avdiivka - isw (map)

According to analysts, since April 20, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation concentrated efforts to increase tactical success near the reed and Novokalin, but then the pace slowed down. Russian troops slowed down the promotion to prepare reserves for the offensive on Toretsk, north of Avdiivka. Analytics of the Institute for War Study (ISW) are given this opinion. The report of April 30 states that the Russians want to supplement their offensive operations near the time ravine.

According to analysts, on April 30, in the area of ​​Avdiivka, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for the first time in a few days did not carry out any confirmed offensive. Yes, Ukrainian sources reported that the Russians had made more attacks in the direction of Bakhmut-Time Yar than near Avdiivka.

It is reported that in its reports the General Staff of Ukraine stated that in just a day Ukrainian troops reflected 47 attacks of the Russian Federation in the Avdeevsky direction and 57 attacks of Russians in the Bakhmut direction. Moreover, much more attacks in the direction of the Yar. However, as it is predicted in ISW, one day is not enough to establish the pattern of actions of the occupiers.

However, this may indicate that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation slow down the rates of attacks around Avdiivka while restoring the potential around the time ravine. In addition, according to analysts, since April 20, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation focused on increasing tactical success near the reed (northwest of Avdiivka) and Novokalin (north of Avdiivka). However, by April 30, the pace of promotion slowed.

Experts suggested that Russians may decide on the offensive from Avdiivka to the Toretsk. "Russian troops can make a decision to move north of their tactical breakthrough near the reeds H-20 (Donetsk-Konstantinovka) to put pressure on Ukrainian forces defending in the area of ​​Toretsk, and perhaps to threaten the operational rear of Ukrainian defense in Time Yar and west from it, "the report was written.