Reflections of contemporaries »Positive scenarios of Ukraine's development of any scenarios are written by people, and they perform, like sociologists with emphasis on the first syllable, social aces (participants and participants of social processes, which by their actions can begin or stop certain changes in society-approx. . Ed. ) And therefore there can be a lot of surprises. Video of the day we generally have only positive writing.
We now predict the positive development of events, from the present to the medium -term future for 10-15 years. The positive scenario will solve the problems of today's war and will cause such harm to the aggressor that he will be glad to have such a course of events when he can cover his face at least with a piece of paper before the world. However, in order to be asked this question, one must really cause very significant harm to the enemy.
And for this there are prerequisites: 93 percent of Ukrainians believes in victory over Russia. This is evidenced by the results of a survey conducted by the sociological group "Rating". Victory confidence prevails in all regions of the country. And in all regions, the idea of protecting the native land probably united people of very different political views. Our defenders have a very big incentive to fight, unlike the aggressor army. That is, we win and force the enemy to leave Ukraine.
And we sign a certain peace treaty. However, it is important to emphasize that, although the script and positive, no peace treaty should be given too serious, because the aggressor will continue constant provocations, attempts to start some military interventions again and again. But it is necessary to take into account and implement something like the Israeli defense system, that is, to always be ready for resistance, so that the enemy does not continue to climb.
Some dream of both Russia and in the world, which will soon disappear Putinism, that the neighbors will come to power liberals. But I am the person who knows the situation in Russia well, the state of consciousness of the Russian population. There are two options for solving the "Russian" question.
The first is fantastic: the elites are rebuilt, "amazing" elites that are not left in Russia, or some people will rebel there, who will start suffering from sanctions, and all of them will flew Putin together, eradicate Putinism. The second is realistic: they will come from the Galaxy of Kin Dza-Dza and turn Putin into a cactus. It is more realistic than the one in which the "great" Russian people are rebuilt, because the "great" Russian people "holds" this being.
"Russian peace", its "love" for Ukraine is our original problem. Putin only embodies the attitude of the remains of the Russian elite to our country. However, under such conditions, we can solve the problems we have not solved so far. First, during the war, we overcame the main problem of our society-regional division. In our society, regardless of the region is now a single position. Secondly, it is the restructuring of our economy into a modern system.
Thanks to the Marshall Plan, which promises the West (and it is very important!), Perhaps our economy will gradually acquire an advanced model that will really significantly increase the standard of living of the population. The world has already noted what losses we suffered as defenders of world civilization on the first turn.
And so we can gradually, in the next ten years, completely restore the infrastructure that remained Soviet, did not withstand new loads and which restrained, no, even more - inhibited our development. Third, we will say goodbye to the so-called "black triad": Eijzhism, sexism and homophobia, which in Russia is a recognized ideology. Developed societies have been difficult to overcome them and still overcome. Ukraine began this path much later, but in recent years it has advanced, overcoming it.
And with the deeper integration of our society into the European, relationships between people will be increasingly deprived of elements of neglect for women, to the elderly and to people of other orientation. I hope we will be very active in mastering the European style of thinking. Fourth, we have always had a demographic problem-rapid reduction, population aging, very low birth rate. But I can say that in the conditions of war, our fertility will rise significantly.
These are the objective things and an interesting phenomenon of any country that is under a constant threat of war or in war. Yes, regardless of war and peace, boys are always born more than girls, because boys mortality is higher. But during the war this gap increases significantly. This is also evidenced by data in Kiev for the first month of the war: the difference between boys and girls in the number of newborns was 60 to 40, although usually - 55 by 45.
These newborn Kievans were conceived for a large -scale war, because nature always feels threatening, which has managed to form in our minds. So during and after the war, a real birth boom awaits Ukraine. And I hope very much! In 30 years, I believe, Putinism will gradually go away, because Russia will simply be so quickly degraded that the protective mechanisms that do not depend on the minds of people will finally work.
The border, but also the leaders of the unhappy blind of Russia from the pathetic state in which it was taken by Putinists. What will happen to Ukraine in 50 years? Hard to tell. To make a prediction for such a term, you need to be a real fantastic writer. I am not a fantastic, I am a scientist. And if for 30 years of nature there is a potential for existence, then how the situation will be in 50 years, it is difficult to predict.
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