Disable light after the attacks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: whether the wind generators of Ukraine will save

According to DIXI GROUP, if in the summer of 2025 Russia beats energy infrastructure at a moderate temperature, then deficiency in the power system can be 16-20%, which threatens light switching on the graph. The threat increases significantly if anomalous heat begins. In the calculation of such development, experts relied on the experience of previous attacks, when the Russians destroyed the shunting generation primarily.

In December 2024, at a meeting with representatives of the International Energy Agency, the Deputy Minister of Energy of Ukraine Roman Andarak noted that Russian purposeful attacks had already destroyed or failed more than 10 GW of Ukraine. According to him, the key elements of the Ukrainian power system was distributed generation and renewable energy sources, such as solar, wind and geothermal. The work of solar (SES) and wind (wind) of power plants depends highly on the weather.

For example, SES work better on hot days in the summer, but they almost do not produce energy on cloudy days and idle at night. Wind power plants operate more stable and around the clock, only the share of such generation in Ukraine is much lower. According to the Ukrainian Wind Energy Association, 2024 in Ukraine the energy system intensified 20. 6 MW of new wind power facilities, and the total capacity of the industry reached 1921.

4 MW (including with wind farms, which are in temporarily occupied territories, but without Crimea). Also in the country began to develop the market of old wind units, the total installed capacity of which reached 32 MW. However, despite the modest growth rates, 2024 was the year of preparation for the introduction of new large wind farms, the construction of which is expected in 2025-2026.

According to Vadim Demchenko, a plan to increase wind generation by 800 MW in 2025 is difficult, but it is possible to bring to life with the support of partners and maintaining security in key regions. This will significantly increase the stability of Ukraine's grid, reduce fossil fuel dependence and help fulfill international obligations.

The realism of this forecast depends on several factors: as Vadim Demchenko drew attention, an additional 800 MW of wind generation, the promised Ministry of Energy-is about 10-15% of the current established capacity of all VES in Ukraine. The commissioning of new stations will allow to cover the needs of hundreds of thousands of households and reduce the dependence on fossil fuel.

In August 2024, the Cabinet of Ministers approved the National Renewable Energy Action Plan in Ukraine for the period up to 2030, it provides for an increase in the established capacity of the Fining to 6. 2 GW. It is expected that the first marine (offshore) wind power plants will appear in the country. In the face of constant attacks on TPP and hydroelectric power station, the distributed wind generation makes the power system more resistant and less vulnerable to point strokes.

It will be too difficult and expensive to destroy the widely distributed system of wind generators. Great generation through WES stabilizes energy in Ukraine and reduce the risk of new blackberries. Wind stations, especially in combination with energy storage systems, can smooth out the load peaks and provide reserve during deficiency periods. Construction of new wind farms are jobs, taxes, infrastructure development and investment in the regions.

In addition, increasing the share of renewable energy is the fulfillment of Ukraine's obligations to the EU and international organizations on decarbonization and transition to "green" energy. Hostilities and safety. Some projects may be delayed or frozen due to the proximity to the front line, so as not to risk experts. Difficulties with logistics and import of equipment. War and destroyed infrastructure can slow down supplies and installation. Financial risks.

Investors require guarantees to return investments and market stability. Network integration. A large amount of RES requires the development of networks and accumulation systems for balancing. Earlier, Vadim Demchenko told whether it was possible to make money on sun and wind power plants in Ukraine. Recently, experts have calculated how many wind power plants need Ukraine to join the EU. The European Union plans to increase the share of renewable energy by 42.