Russian fantasies near Kupyansk. As the command of the Russian Federation tries to issue a village for the greatest victory

Military observer Alexander Kovalenko critically evaluates recent publications about some incredible accumulation of Russian troops in Kupyansk. He draws attention to the fact that there is nothing to change there for six months - and qualitatively too.

Yesterday the article of one famous and influential publication, about the preparation of the offensive on Kupyansk, I was caught on the road, with the Internet that is constantly disappearing, and therefore to respond in a timely manner to the written, so sorry, could not. But this material, which refers to 40,000 Russians, 500 tanks and 600 BBM, was ready to storm Kupyansk, well. I will probably begin with the fact that the offensive of Kupyansk was intensified from late May - early June 2023.

That is, as such an offensive has been conducted for more than six months, with the catalysis of assault actions since November. Although, in general, attempts to regain control of Kupyansky moles have been made from 2022, almost immediately after escape from the city.

In the current phase of the offensive, the units of GV "West", which is the next set of forces and means: at the same time, in the area of ​​Belgorod region there is a group of cover of the border of the next species: the main direction of impact - to Kupyansk itself, through Sinkivka, where the main The role is played by the 25th and 138-A OMSBR, south operates OMSBR, and along the R-07 route-forces 1 and, first of all, the 47th td.

It is in this connection with this that the West is the most saturated with a tank component. There is even more in the event "West" than the most capable and largest south. Actually, the set, as you notice, is more voluminous and terrible than in the article mentioned by a dear edition that scared many. So what is now, sprinkle your head with ashes and, waving your hands, run the corridors with a cry "everything is gone"? No.

As I wrote above, the offensive on Kupyansk has been going on for more than six months. However, the relative number of GV "West" did not change critically during this period. That is, the mole has been composed for more than six months, without increasing the indicators of forces and money, but being in a state of regular compensation for losses. For example, in mid -December 2023 there were about 740 tanks as part of Dnipro GV.

That is, the increase is small and in the framework of compensation for regular losses, taking into account the capabilities of the MIC for the staffing of units. Interestingly, in the middle of 2023, there were almost 63 thousand personnel in the "Western".

In other words, the dear publication not only did not give more or less reliable information about the enemy group on the bridgehead, but also managed to miss the fact that the SUU is hampered by the SUC for more than six months, the opponent's prevailing forces in the Limano-Kubanian axis. Yes, I do not hide, the situation on the bridgehead is consistently very difficult. But such a stable situation is a very difficult situation - across the line of collisions.

And the only thing that was absolutely right is a dear edition, it is that all actions with LBZ are now due to tactical or strategic expediency, but political motives. After the capture of the village, starch in the highest Russian leadership and completely worked the reflex and began abundant salivation.

They believed that the seizure of a small, erased from the face of the village for the sixth month of endless storms would allow them to jump above their heads - and here, the left bank of the Oskol was already bearing a horizon. However, in advance, in order to crawl to the left bank, you need to grab the sand and crawl 6 km on the difficult landscape that is shot.

Of course, no one will cross the forehead, but will come in a reasonable one and start the flanks, which is already felt by increased pressing in the area of ​​Kotlyarivka and Kislivka, with an attempt to instantly break the brave of heavy-armor cavalry. But… There is nothing today that SUU is ready for this area of ​​war. But the problem is not so much in the amount of tanks and crazy meat in the enemy, as in the question of a proportional amount of ammunition.