Without Western weapons. Will Ukraine be able to fight without the support of the event

The volume of military assistance to Ukraine may be reduced in the near future. Western partners, including the United States, United Kingdom, Poland and Slovakia, speak directly or hint. The focus understood the impact of a military assistance stop for defense forces and whether an alternative was found. Western partners of Ukraine send signals that military support cannot be eternal.

The other day, The Telegraph, citing its own high -ranking source in the military sphere, reported that the United Kingdom had exhausted its arms reserves for assistance. It is first and foremost about air defense and artillery ammunition. In turn, Politico writes that the EU can no longer supply Ukraine's weapons from its own arsenals. Like, after 18 months of intensive fighting, European reserves are exhausted.

The newly elected Prime Minister of Slovakia Robert Fitzo decided that the country would no longer provide Ukraine with military assistance. At the beginning of the year, Slovakia provided support for 10% of its defense budget. These are first of all, MiG-29 fighters, air defense systems, artillery and armored vehicles.

We will remind, the political party headed by Fitzo won in the parliamentary elections with slogans to stop giving weapons to Ukraine, blocking Kiev access to NATO and abolition of anti -Russian sanctions. A similar situation in neighboring Poland, where diplomatic scandals with Kiev are on the background of the election campaign. The political leadership of the country has informed that it would no longer transfer military assistance to Ukraine.

However, they later clarified that the weapons that are currently needed by the Polish army are currently needed. All previous deliveries and transit contracts remain valid. The most concern is the budget crisis in the United States (which is also related to future elections) - the temporary funding of the government has excluded an article about $ 6 billion in assistance to Ukraine. The next 45 days from October 2, Kyiv will be difficult to obtain funding for new deliveries and programs.

However, previously approved weapons and equipment will continue. According to the Ambassador of Ukraine to the US Oksana Markarova, there is now a minimum of additional $ 1. 6 billion for defense (PDA - withdrawing from US Army reserves) plus $ 1. 23 billion of direct budget assistance (this September tranche), plus significant amounts for energy and others programs. At the end of these 45 days, a new decision will be required.

Ukraine's defense forces need Western weapons and equipment, but they are not critical. From open sources, it is known that we are currently transferred to almost the entire nomenclature of conventional weapons - from round -up for small -tech weapons to high -tech samples of rocket weapons and aviation. Actually, countries that have already declared the termination of assistance or ending resources are one of the main military donors for Ukraine.

Domestic production of weapons and military equipment is a state secret, so it is difficult to understand the real state of things. However, given that Western military giants such as Bae Systems and Rheinmetall are going to Ukraine. This was also discussed at the First International Forum of Defense Industria (DFNC1), which took place in Kiev at the end of September.

It is known that the event has brought together 252 companies from more than 30 countries that produce weapons and military equipment. The former head of the Foreign Intelligence Service, Army General Mykola Malomuz, reminds focus that it is not necessary to forget that the EU has been obliged to allocate 1 million ammunition, and commercial producers began to increase production.

According to him, a new meeting in Ramstein will be a benchmark for the nomenclature and the volume of supplies of military assistance to Ukraine. "Indeed, there is a certain block of political statements from representatives of the US, Poland and Slovakia, which is related to the internal political struggle rather than a decrease in Ukraine's support. This is not concerned For Ukraine, they talk about a new budget of $ 100 billion or a package of military assistance together with Israel.

Poland will not transfer its weapons, but will fulfill the obligation within the previously drawn up contracts. I think the decision to stop assistance from the territory of Slovak , we have already identified logistics supply chains through Poland, the Czech Republic, Bulgaria and more distant partners are added here - Australia and South Korea, "he says.

Military expert Oleg Starikov notes that in the event of reducing assistance from Western partners, it will be difficult for Ukraine, it will have to change plans and move to war of savings - that is, with total savings of ammunition for equipment. In his opinion, there is a feeling and vision that the power and potential of Ukroboronprom is not used to assist the defense forces.

And in the second year of the war instead of its own production, management decides how to put the necessary people in certain positions. "I will remind that the army is fighting in the case when it is provided with four main components - finances, economics, human resources (personnel) and ammunition, weapons and equipment. Calculate for yourself what Ukraine is secured," he comments on focus.

Mykola Malomuzh agrees with him, who claims that for defense the Ukrainian army has the necessary resources, but for offensive operations it is necessary to replenish inventories and make adjustments to tactics. For their part, the elders draws attention to the lack of political consolidation between the authorities and the opposition, which in no way contributes to the victory in the war with Russia.

In the amount of corruption scandals and information campaigns from Russian propaganda, it creates the image of "total betrayal" not only in Ukraine but also for Western civil society. An example of this is the absence of the topic of Ukraine on the first pages of the Western media. It is clear that the topic of Israel's war with Hamas has changed its priority, but not to completely forget about Ukraine.