What is really this answer and how can you predict what will be a global problem in the future and what is not? Researchers say that the "global claim" is defined as the probability of an event or condition that will occur and will inevitably affect a large part of world GDP, the population of the planet and natural resources. Researchers emphasize that both environmental risks and geopolitical, social, economic or technological can include the greatest threats. In focus.
Technology has appeared its Telegram channel. Subscribe not to miss the latest and most intrusive news from the world of science! More than 900 experts from academic circles, business, government and other areas take part in the work on the report. At the same time, a global study of risks (GRPS) is a source of initial data of the World Economic Forum on Risk. When working on the report, researchers collect answers to questions among numerous communities and then provide the public with a rating.
Respondents also ask how, in their opinion, some risks interact with others, as well as they see risks over the next year. What conclusions did the experts reach this year? The world today is full of battles and devastating wars, and therefore it is not surprising that the greatest threat to this year is called "armed conflict at the state level. " Statistics show that almost every fourth respondent has chosen this threat as the most likely of the 33 options offered by researchers.
It should be noted that last year the risks of armed conflict were only 8th place, but this year the position of this threat has increased seriously. In the medium -term and long term over the following years, the risk of armed conflict has been third in the course of the decade - 12th place. Experts call many concomitant risks, such as cyberbership, wars and misinformation. But the main concern specified in the report is related to the lack of international efforts to maintain peace.
In simple words, experts fear that in the future the world will resort to an even more rigid style of wars. If humanity still succeeds in the next 12 months that awaits us in the future? Researchers say that in this case, the main threat to the world will generally be climate change. Statistics show that every seventh respondent has chosen as a most likely threat in the next 2-10 years extreme weather phenomena.
Previous research by scientists has already shown that anthropogenic climate change already makes already extreme weather phenomena even more dangerous, but will become worse. A striking example of climate change is forest fires that have swept the Los Angeles. Moreover, scientists say that almost all environmental risks are actually included in the top ten.
The loss of biodiversity and ecosystem collapse ranks 2nd, ascending from the 3rd place last year, and significantly deteriorating how to compare with the two-year rating (21st place). Critical change of land systems in 3rd place, lack of natural resources in 4th place and pollution in 10th place complete a very gloomy forecast of environmental risks. The forecast of experts is certainly pessimistic, since 9 out of 10 respondents consider future global prospects "unstable and stormy.
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