March border: why Russia will do everything for breakthrough on the front

As soon as the federal streams fall impoverished (they are all tied to oil), it will not even collapse. Without changing the approach to replenishment of the army in the Russian Federation (mobilization), they will not have a resource for large -scale action. Unless at the expense of new Koreans. But Koreans and imitation of peace are badly compatible.

Therefore, I pay attention to: the risks of continuing the war until the end of the year and further for the Kremlin can be compensated by the exclusively valuable prize in the form of dismantling of Ukraine. If Ukraine does not fall out, Russia can be transferred to internal problems. Either to lift or to freeze. The problems of the Ukrainian army are known. New risks in view of the change of US approaches are obvious. The nuance is that the score goes literally for a week.

If the Russians are not able to knock us from Kursk and sell us in any of the directions (Kupyansk, Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk), it will be extremely difficult for them to technically use bonuses in the form of weakening/disconnecting US assistance. There will simply be no strength. And for Trump it will be 2 months at the helm without breakthroughs on the background of the growing front. Hence the degree of rhetoric, which shocks in Americans. In general, March is the moon of horror.

But after it can open lines that we do not see now. The main thing now is to provide the army with the opportunity to keep the area of ​​the defeat at 10+ km. Effective operation of this meat grinder will cause no options in the Russian Federation except playing elections. And this is another story. We will deal with it at the appropriate time. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.