How Putin will answer after Ukraine's permission to beat on the territory of the Russian Federation: the media voiced scripts

The first scenario journalists are a nuclear response factor. Earlier, the Kremlin has already waved its strategic arsenal, trying to restrain the intervention of the event. But despite all the threats, the United States stated that they did not notice "no signs of unusual movements in Russian nuclear weapons storage. " At the same time, experts believe that the use of nuclear weapons by Russia is unlikely, but warn against probable self -esteem.

Senior Researcher at the Institute for the Research of UN Disarmament Problems Pavel feats does not believe that the nuclear blow to Ukraine is now on the list of Moscow variants, as it "will not help to achieve any military goals. " Moreover, any combat use of such weapons against a non-nuclear state will cause a completely unpredictable reaction to the Kremlin. "This is a serious adventure. However, I cannot exclude that the Kremlin is ready to take a risk.

Especially when Moscow feels that it can count on a weak answer. We do not know if he can," the expert says. The media writes that Moscow has demonstrated enormous opportunities in the use of hybrid tactics against its enemies. It is a directing of refugee flow to the borders of NATO Eastern Flang, Kills in Britain, Germany, Spain and Austria of different people, diversions at Germanic factories and UK and bombs on flights to North America.

Another answer is Russian online attacks with bots or hackers. They will reduce the unity within specific countries and provoke performances of ultra -radical groups (mainly right). You should also not forget about the muffling of GPS signals, including the Baltic, which violates the navigation of thousands of passenger aircraft.

Journalists remind that the recent incident with a breakdown of two underwater cables in the Baltic Sea by a Chinese ship, which was managed by a Russian citizen, does not exclude the Kremlin's participation in such operations. "Trade vessels usually do not cut underwater cables for entertainment. We have seen that Russia is using proxy very well," says Elizabeth Bro, a conflict expert at Atlantic Council.

The media say that the Kremlin can also use its allies and trusted persons for destabilization. Such can be both a jumper in Yemen, who resort to regular attacks on the Red Sea ship, as well as local recruited agents in European countries, who can start "permanent shares of chaos"- from arson and diversions to robbery and provocation of open clashes through social Political questions.

The British Security Service (MI5) notes that Russian intelligence has "dramatically intensified cooperation" with criminal groups in different countries of the world. Therefore, special services are convinced that the Kremlin can also use them for their purposes. Journalists emphasize the main problem that Western countries will face through the actions of the Russian Federation - how to answer the Kremlin's actions.

"Hybrid methods" allow the Russian Federation and Putin to translate all the attention to the proxy and guilt of attacked countries, and probably deny any of their own involvement in such actions. Accordingly, leaderships of countries are limited in the methods and methods of counteracting such "shares" of the Russian Federation through internal legislation, a factor of social responsibility and the inability to enter the state of open war.

Therefore, the Kremlin understands that criminal investigations against it and the limitations of the Western special services allow him to avoid a full response for his operations. "We are simply not going to blazing Russian navigation signals on water or in the air because it can cause accidents. The Russians are very good to do it. They continue to introduce innovation and if it works successfully, they use it. If the effect is negligible, And there will be no harm, they will not be punished.

We will remind, Focus wrote that the Russian leader aimed at the EU, actively attacking its infrastructure. Moscow continues to actively interfere with EU processes with hybrid methods, including espionage, cyberattacks, misinformation and direct sabotage. We also talked about why NATO was in vain Putin. Western analysts claim that Moscow loses its hybrid war, and the strategy of coercion through the strikes on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine has proved to be extremely unsuccessful.