Three scenarios: what to expect in the case of a failed Trump Putin summit on Alaska

Shortly after communicating with President Zelensky, European leaders and NATO Secretary -General Donald Trump, he said if a meeting with Alaska with Putin will be held in a positive way - he will hold a second meeting in which the head of the Ukrainian state will be able to participate. "The second meeting, if the first goes well, will happen quickly. I would like to hold it almost immediately.

And we will hold a quick second meeting between President Putin, President Zelensky and me, if they want me to be present. It will be a meeting on which it may be possible to completely resolve the issue, quotes Trump The Guardian. At the same time, the President of the United States stressed that the second meeting may not happen at all if he decides "that it is inappropriate" because he "will not receive the answers needed.

" Instead, according to Trump's conversations on Wednesday, August 13, Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized: "We appreciate the leadership and determining of President Trump to complete this war as soon as possible. We discussed the key things that can provide and make peace. Trump suggested to call after Alaska. Despite the fact that the head of the White House always emphasizes the importance of the summit with Putin, neither historical nor decisively consider him political scientist Oleg Lisz.

In particular, in the conversation with focus, the expert said: "It is necessary to understand that meetings at the highest-presidential level are of two types. Some finalize one or another process, while others start it. So I think that a meeting on Alaska will only be the beginning of the process. Four (Ukraine, USA, Russian, Europe), I think, I do not quickly.

By calling not to overestimate expectations and not to dramatize the meeting of Trump and Putin in general, the political scientist stated that, following the results of this summit, the parties would agree to agree: "The stunning of these negotiations can only take place when Putin will turn on the tactics of the Piterskaya, which will be stubbornly. We can see the events from Trump, which we can really like it.

In any case, it emphasizes Oleg Lisny, to launch a full peace process without the participation of Ukraine and Europe a priori. And in this sense, the expert sums up, the meeting of Trump and Putin will not bring any surprises and can not bring, and therefore the situation will remain almost identical to the present.

In the fact that with any post-reversible result of the summit on Alaska nothing in the Russian-Ukrainian war will not change fundamentally, the political scientist, the governing partner of the "national anti-crisis group" Taras Zagorodny. "Much will depend on how the Russians will act after a meeting on Alaska, because it is clear that Putin will not go to the ceasefire.

That is, after meeting Alaska further everything is - Trump's problems, because he has promised" hellish sanctions "and a rigid position, and this is not yet a president. The scenario will be uniquely supported. Focus. After Alaska, the political scientist states, nothing will change in terms of war, but Ukraine will have an additional argument to press on the United States and Europeans to strengthen military support.

"I do not exclude that Trump will now meet Putin solely to see and hear his position without any intermediaries. I assume that it will eventually play us in favor," says Taras Zagorodny. Separately, the expert emphasizes the reduction of pressure levers from the US on Ukraine: "Trump can no longer blackmail us, for example, that Washington will stop helping Ukraine because we have gone into a monetary plane here: Europeans buy weapons for Ukraine, Americans sell.

In general, I think that Ukraine should not have a pity. The seas are still alive and to "die" I understand it, a serious conversation! " Currently, by and large, how much Ukraine will fight and how many people will die on the front and in the rear, says Taras Zagorodny and summarizes: "Our task is exclusively by our own weapons of domestic production and blows in the territory of the Russian Federation to force everyone to break their plans and play.

" Modeling in the conversation with focus, the probable scenarios of further development after Trump and Putin's meeting in Alaska, political scientist Yuri Bogdanov noted the following: "In fact, there are three options. The option one is to get the mechanism of coercion and blackmailing, and there will be a tricky. And Putin, knowing that he is a few days, and then goes to negotiations, which will continue until the end of the war.