Ukraine escaped the collapse of the front: the breakthrough of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the reed was stopped - Forbes

According to journalists, the planned holiday 47 OMBR was an invitation for Russian troops. In the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it was possible to cause damage to the Armed Forces, which can be compared with the Kharkiv offensive of Ukraine at the end of 2022. Last weekend in the region of the reed Donetsk region of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation almost broke through the line of defense of Ukraine, which separates the city of Pokrovsk from the foremost.

In this case, the Russians could force tens of thousands of Ukrainian military and hundreds of thousands of civilians from Donetsk region. Forbes writes about it. 47 OMBR is one of the best Ukrainian brigades. It is equipped with American -made armored vehicles and trained according to NATO standards. The fighters fight as the best brigades of the Alliance: rapidly, cruelly and often at night.

Back in June, 47 Ombre participated in the counter -offensive, and in October the garrison in Avdiivka intensified. She needed a break, and she could get it this week. But the planned vacation was an invitation for Russian troops west of the ruins of Avdiivka. In the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation there was an opportunity to harm the Armed Forces, which can be compared with the Kharkiv offensive of Ukrainian troops at the end of 2022.

According to journalists, last weekend 47 OMBR departed in the reeds of the Donetsk region, and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation almost broke through the Ukrainian positions into the lane, which separates the city of Pokrovsk from the foremost. The 47th had to replace the 115th. But something went wrong.

According to Mykola Melnik, company commander 47 OMBR, who lost his foot during the summer counter -offensive, the rapid promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation was made possible because some units simply lost their positions. Russian scouts and drone operators, who observed the positions previously occupied by 47 brigades, expected to see fresh troops of the 115th in the same trenches. But there was no one there.

For the 30th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Armed Forces, it was an opportunity to capture a narrow projection that looks 7 km long on the map, which is embedded in the Ukrainian Defense Line. According to journalists, the breakthrough of the Russians could overthrow the entire Ukrainian defense line west of Avdiivka and force tens of thousands of Ukrainian military and possibly hundreds of thousands of civilians flee from Donetsk region.

The only reason why the Russians did not move deeper into the rear of the Armed Forces last weekend, that the 47th Brigade, which went, returned to the position. "The 47 mechanized brigade in the case," Melnyk said. In the next few days the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have expanded their performance slightly, but did not move further west. The catastrophe for Ukraine has been prevented, authors of the publication. But the battle has not yet been completed.

If the Russians are able to transfer reserves here, then the offensive may unfold. The 90th Guards Tank Division of the Russian Federation is nearby, but so far in the battles participation does not participate. If this division manages to strengthen the performance, it will at least complicate the Ukrainian counterattack. In the worst of the possible scenarios for Ukraine, the Tank Division of the Russian Federation will force the tired 47th brigade to go to the west.

Good news for Ukrainian forces is that supplying additional ammunition is being prepared. And, according to reports, the Great Party of M2 Bradley, when the US Congress has finally approved new military assistance. According to ISW estimates, Russian troops, apparently, aimed at a large -scale breakthrough of Ukrainian positions northwest of Avdiivka. But a new military assistance party for Ukraine can interfere with it.