The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation experience serious problems trying to storm Avdiivka - isw (map)

ISW experts say that, earlier, October 12 and 13, officials of the United States and Ukraine reported that they were waiting for offensive operations of the Russian Federation in the Avdiivka area and expressed confidence in Ukrainian defense.

The report of the Institute of War Study refers to the words of the US National Security Council, John Kirby, who said on October 13 that Russian troops seem to use the tactics of the "human wave", in which the Russian military uses masses of poorly trained and equipment Russian soldiers to attempt to promote. Russian troops used the same practice during their unsuccessful winter offensive in the winter of 2023.

Military analysts say that the Russian information space is still divided on the prospects of Russian successes under Avdiivka and the current opportunities of Ukraine. According to them, some Russian sources stated on October 13 and 14 that Ukrainian defense fortifications pose a serious threat to Russia's offensive in the Avdiivka area. Ukrainian mines slow down the promotion of Russian troops near Avdiivka, which indicates the previous preparation of the Ukrainian side for the attack.

ISW observes that the Russian army uses more armored vehicles in current operations than usual. On October 13, geolocation indicates that Russian troops slightly advanced north of Avdiivka, and on October 14, Russian troops also advanced south of Avdiivka. It is noted that the Russians also indicate problems with medical care, which also interfere with the promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Avdiivka area.

According to analysts, the Ukrainian forces continued counter -offensive operations in the east and south of Ukraine on October 14 and advanced west of Donetsk. We will remind, on October 15 it was reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation per day lost the aircraft Su-25, "SolsPenk" and BMPT "Terminator". According to the commander of Tavriya Alexander Tarnavsky, Russian troops do not stop causing aviation and artillery strikes at the positions of defense forces.