War without US assistance: what Ukrainian winged rocket trembita is capable of

Biden, obviously, fears that impulsive and authoritarian Trump will do what he threatened - will reduce or stop US assistance to Ukraine. The Ukrainian government is not going to risk. He is in a hurry to develop a weapon that he can create, pay and use on his own - with unreliable and unpredictable Americans. The new winged Trembita rocket can be the greatest symbol of Ukraine's desire for autonomy in the field of fire power.

Assessing the day when the American ammunition will end - first of all, the ballistic missiles of the Army Tactical Missile Complex (ATACMS) 190 miles - Ukraine is preparing to create "trembita" and other ammunition of a deep blow. A large number of ammunition. Launched from Trembita ramp only seven feet and weighing 200 pounds does not attract much attention.

As a miniature modern version of the Nazi Bomb Fau-1, it combines a loud impulse jet engine with a simple design-a tubular fuselage and a square wing-and simple control. In this case - GPS. This simplicity gives the "trembiti" its best feature: low cost. The basic "trembita", which has been developed since 2023, costs only $ 10,000. Her flight range is only 90 miles with a 40-foot warhead.

The Ukrainian PARS firm, which creates trembita, is working on a larger and far -range version that should be able to reach Moscow (400 miles from the Ukrainian border). This version, which should be ready in about a year, will undoubtedly cost more than $ 10,000 - but it will still be the potentially cheapest ammunition in the world. ATCMS costs over $ 1 million. There are no reasons why Ukraine cannot buy thousands of "trembits" even without foreign budget assistance.

The same cannot be said about more expensive domestic ammunition of deep blow, which Kiev works: Ballistic missiles "Grim-2" and the winged rockets "Neptune". This scale matters. In order to compare with massive Russian shelling of Ukrainian cities, bases, power plants and factories, Ukraine needs to significantly increase the scale of their own shelling of Russian cities, bases, oil refineries and factories.

The small number of winged ATACMS and Storm Shadow/Scalp-EG missiles that Ukraine received from the US, the United Kingdom and France is not enough for an intensive campaign of deep blows. And "several hundred" atacms, which Biden has passed to Ukraine, according to The New York Times, may be the only ATCMS that Ukraine will ever receive if Trump is reducing or canceling US assistance this month. For clarity, Trembita is not atacms, not Storm Shadow and not Scalp-EG.

It does not have a amount of a load of American ammunition, the penetrating ability of British and French ammunition and the accuracy of all three. Replacing smaller, less accurate Ukrainian ammunition with larger, more accurate foreign ammunition will make Ukrainians see what their goals they affect - and how. The flurry "Trembit" can work perfectly, say, the growing factory complex. But against the underground team bins, which Ukrainians aimed at Storm Shadow, this may not work so well.

Relying more on their own weapons, Ukrainians may be forced to strike for other purposes. But at least they will be able to continue to strike. Baiden's administration still has several billion dollars to supply Kiev new and surplus weapons - and intends to use them. But the ammunition that Americans will deliver in the next few weeks are not eternal. Ukrainians know that the day is approaching when they are . . . if not themselves, then more alone. They are preparing.