"The offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation": in the United States believe that the Armed Forces will have to leave Bakhmut - Bloomberg

High -ranking Western officials consider the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Donbass in winter or spring. The interlocutors are convinced that neither side of the conflict will succeed in this phase of war. Officials also doubt that Russia will dare to a new land invasion of Belarus.

Separately, Bloomberg suggests that artillery, tanks and air defense, which was previously stated by allies, will not help Ukraine's defense forces in the near future to release their territories, so a full -scale conflict will last at least until the end of 2023. "The perspective of war that will be delayed by 2024 can play in Russia if it can continue to keep the captured territories. This can force President Vladimir Zelensky to take part in any future negotiations.

The US is advised to play Ukrainian troops for some time to give the ability to arrive tanks and other weapons to gather resources for spring offensive in the south, Ukraine may have to remove their troops from Bakhmut soon, which will bring Russia a symbolic victory. Bakhmut retreat will not have a serious strategic impact on the course of war. Everything will create defensive lines very close to the place where the front line now passes, " - said in Bloomberg.

Journalists suggest that in the case of capture of Bakhmut, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will try to advance in the direction of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk. However, the Russian army will not be able to fully capture the territory of Donetsk region in the near future, given its large size.

Another high -ranking interlocutor suggested that Ukraine's defense forces will receive new "opportunities" in the occupied Crimea in the spring or summer, which violated the military supply of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.

"If Ukraine succeeds by the end of the summer to recruit the territory in the south in the area of ​​Melitopol and divide the Russian lines between the Crimea and the East of the country - Kyiv will lay the basis for difficult several months for Putin and his troops," the journalists added in their material. It should be reminded that at the end of December the Armed Forces command allowed Ukrainian units from Bakhmut if there is a threat of the operational environment of personnel.