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Many consider the formation of a separate Russian group

The Sever Group of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: What units were pulled to the border with Ukraine

Many consider the formation of a separate Russian group "Sever" for the preparation of a breakthrough on Kharkiv. The military analyst Konstantin Mashovets analyzes its composition and sees a completely different perspective. So, today we will continue about the hostile group of troops (UV) "Sever", because, I look, many people "do not let go" at the expense of "hypothetical breakthrough of the enemy in Kharkiv".

Today, let's talk about the distribution of those forces and means of "Sever", which - either already at the disposal of its command, or will come there in the near future. It is known that the troops (forces) of this group of opposing are deployed in the territory of three Russian border regions - Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod.

Moreover, a large part of them was made up of parts and units of the relevant groups - Bryansk, Kursk and Belgorod UV from the border cover, which was referred to the old warehouse of War. Therefore, it is appropriate to determine, let's say so, in these tactical directions, and what it can testify, and what - cannot. I will remind you, dear readers, "a lot of consistency of the series".

After reforming the former Western Military District into two other, "independent" military districts - Moscow and Leningrad Military District (Ministry of Internal Affairs, respectively), the Russian military command decided to move to a more adequate and logical operational management system . At the same time, as for me, they came out of quite understandable awareness.

Since most of the most powerful and capable associations ("assets") of the troops of the Old WEB (namely-1st GV, 20th and the newly formed 25th general) went to the "restored" MVO, That was logical that these troops were part of what, ultimately, was reformatted, in fact, the Western Military District - in the Warning (in fact, it is the troops of the Moscow Military District On "active" directions - Kupyansky and Lymansky.

This strip, in fact, became the "zone of the scallops" exclusively of MSO troops. In turn, the whole "asset" from the "old" War ", which was engaged in the cover of the border (the same 3 border groups), and in fact, in these areas, Ukrainian troops in these areas through sabotage and artillery-aviation terror of our border in Chernihiv, was drawn in these areas, in these areas, Chernihiv.

Sumy and Kharkiv regions + operating troops from the 6th ID, 11th and 14th AK, respectively, became part of the deployed VNO "Sever". At the same time, it was quite logical to decide that the "basic" military district for its formation will be the troops (forces) of the same "restored" Leningrad military district (Lvo). And this is, respectively, the 6th All-Army (IDA) from 2 separate motor raimers (25th and 138th OMSBR) from the Lengrad region.

+ 11th Army Corps (AK) from the Kalingrad Region + 14th AK (respectively, from the 80th and 200th OMSBR) from "The Crazy Sever", which at this point also "did not ask for the backs". Thus, at the time of the beginning of the practical implementation of all this "large reformatting" of the horde from the composition of the old ZOB, which had to be "reformatted", was significantly mixed in different directions and areas (and sometimes not even in the direction of the "West" itself).

It was necessary to regroup and "bring to a normal battle", in accordance with the "slender and clear" plan for reformatting the older Western military district into two other military districts. It is this unseen need to move and regroup troops, as well as to deploy new KP (PU), headquarters, logistics system, etc.

, one of the Russian creative people in the GSC and gave rise to a "brilliant" idea to use it necessary and inevitably regrouping their troops (which will necessarily notice in the Ukrainian GS), as a strategic IPSO under the general name "We are on Kharkov". And it went and went. Ours were "played" by organizing "in the panic" (in fact, no) on the eve of the Russian "electoral act" another raid of RDC, LSR and "Sibbat" in the specified areas, arguing allegedly - "Oh I'm afraid, I'm afraid.

But, we are a little bit They are not about being believed in the "big offensive on Kharkiv", or now that it is focused and unfolded in the "Sever". ": 1) in the Bryansk tactical direction (Bryansk - KP \ PU \ PUB is deployed in the Starodub area): in general, all this is up to about 8. 4 - 8. 5 thousand Russian soldiers and mainly concentrated on the main communication nodes and the Bryansk paths Regions, occupying "supports" and areas of defense in key points.

There is not enough troops to organize a "continuous cover of the border. " 2) Kursk tactical direction (UV "KPS" - KP \ PU \ PUBO IN RILLSKA): In total, "Kursk" has more than 10. 5 thousand Russian servicemen and looks more balanced than Bryansk, at least in the sense those tasks that can currently perform. But there is also a considerable proportion of (up to 6 formations)-"Rifle Battalions", with very dubious combat capabilities.

3) Well, the most powerful Belgorod direction (Belgorod in Belgorod - KP \ PUB is deployed in the area of ​​Belgorod): in general, Belgorod in Belgorod is current The same "existential" threat of Kharkiv, which is so fond of trembling our media, and with them - a large number of representatives of the expert environment. What and where can Sever can be replenished in the near future, in the sense of additional forces and means.

As for me, the most likely "candidates" to transfer to the territory of "calm" Russian border are: in a more distant perspective: it is possible that the strength and means of the 44th AK, which now unfolds on the reinforcement of UV "will be used in" Sever "will also be used to reinforcement. The territory of Karelia is likely to concern his artillery component. Now where exactly.

As for me, it is obvious that objectively, strengthening requires first and foremost Bryansk and Kursk tactical directions, especially - the first. However, it is possible that in the framework of preparation for its "great summer-autumn on the Kharkiv" part of the above forces and means of the Russian LSO may be in the Belgorod direction.

Especially if, within the framework of some "strategic game", the Russian GSC will try to "give the mirror" actions of the RDC, LSR and "Sibbat" with its own raids into the territory of Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Moreover, when you have to "distract" and draw, indeed, some "offensive on Kharkiv". I think this is the most likely option for Kharkov. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.