The Russian Federation is doomed to defeat: Professor Beijing University made four arguments

The article is placed on The Economist. The war is an obvious watershed after the Cold War, which will have a deep and global impact on the world. The fighting will not end soon, but Yuitsyun called four arguments of the Russian Federation: all these factors, according to the Chinese professor, make the final defeat of Russia inevitable. It will leave all the occupied territories of Ukraine, including Crimea. Nuclear potential cannot be a guarantee of success.

The United States left Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan despite nuclear weapons. The war is very expensive to Ukraine, but the power and unity of the nation destroyed the myth of the invincibility of the Russian Federation. "Ukraine can still be resurrected from the ashes. When the war is over, it can look forward to joining the European Union and NATO," Feng Yitsyun emphasizes. At the same time, political risks in Russia are very high.

Vladimir Putin was re -elected, but faces all the types of possible events of the Black Swan. Former USSR member states began to distance from Moscow, and Europe, on the contrary, realized the Kremlin's threat to the entire international order. It is possible that the UN Security Council is also changing because it is often incapacitated in its current state. Japan and Germany can join the Radbeza, and the current five can lose the right to veto.

China did not support sanctions against the Russian Federation, but cannot systematically violate them. The author also assures that Beijing stands for a peaceful resolution of the "conflict". This desire shows the difference between the approaches of the Russian Federation and China and the difference between the two states. The author calls the chances of "Korean Scenario" for Ukraine.

The Russian Federation is ready to go to the escalation of the war and continues to fire critical infrastructure and the city. If the war is frozen, the Russian Federation will be able to pause to start new wars after a break. The world will be in even greater danger, so this probability is low. We will remind, on April 13, the media wrote that China supplies Russian rockets and UAV engines. Beijing also helps to improve satellite.