They captured 505 square km in half a year: in ISW ​​told how Ukraine can stop the offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation

The speed of promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for the last half of a year - 100 square meters. km per month. At the same time, the offensive actions of the enemy, which began under Avdiivka, will last until mid -spring. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation began to step on the Armed Forces from mid -October 2023 and by the end of March 2024 seized 505 square meters. km of the territory.

At the same time, they took advantage of the advantage in the live strength and shells and the lack of the same components of the Armed Forces of war. Analysts of the Institute for War Study (ISW) should be told about what the Russians need to stop. In the report published on March 28, analysts said that President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy said during a conversation with CBS News journalists, stabilizing the front line.

At the same time, certain offensive actions of the Russian Federation continue - approximately, they are slowed down by mid -April, indicated on the ISW portal. However, according to the head of the state, within a month or two the offensive of the Russians will recover, and he is not sure that Ukraine will be fine. Analysts estimated that within five and a half months of offensive actions, the Russians occupied 505 square meters. km.

After the intensification of the battles near Avdiivka, with the subsequent loss of this settlement, the enemy gained 100 square meters. km. In addition to the occupation of the territory, the Russian command achieves several more goals. First, they use a shortage of shells that arose from suspension of US assistance. Secondly, the Armed Forces are forced to use stocks. Third, because of the shortage of firearms, Ukrainians have to choose more and less priority areas and redistribute resources.

This increases the risks of breakthrough in less protected areas of the front. As a result, ISW analysts indicate that it is necessary to stop the promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and to collect forces for their own new offensive: "[listed - ed.

] Would narrow these opportunities for Russian armed forces and would provide the Ukrainian armed forces with the ability to stop Russian forces even in minor tactical achievements, reduce Russian offensive opportunities and prepare for future counter -offensive operations, " - concludes in the report. It should be noted that from February 2014 to March 2024 the Russian Federation occupied almost 110 thousand square meters. KM of the territory of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, the media reports about the possibility of a new offensive of Russian troops. In particular, on March 27, Meduza Roszma published information received from anonymous sources surrounded by President Vladimir Putin. They said that two variants of the goals of the Russians are considered. According to the first plan, they plan to step on Kharkiv again in the near future: they are sure that they will have strength.

The second plan is a re -attack on Kiev: this option is "less realistic", - the interlocutors quoted journalists. On March 28, military expert Mikhail Zhirokhov explained when you can expect a new offensive of the Russian Federation. According to him, first the Russians will carry out mobilization, teach new soldiers. The estimated activation time is July-August 2024.