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On the eve of the Armed Forces counter -offensive, the Russians are preparing fo...

Under the sight. What goals Ukraine will impress on the eve of Crimea's de -occupation

On the eve of the Armed Forces counter -offensive, the Russians are preparing for the defense of the Crimea. The occupied peninsula has already closed a network of trenches and build fortifications. Focus learned what the main goals of the Ukrainian army in the Crimea: land, maritime and aviation. After the occupation of Crimea in 2014, Russia actively militarized the peninsula and eventually turned it into a large military base, which it used to further invade the mainland of Ukraine in 2022.

The destruction of runways and aircraft, berths and ships, railways and trains can significantly weaken the enemy, and become steps towards Crimea. Under the sight: the so -called land corridor used by Russian troops to strengthen their presence in the Crimea, including the Crimean bridge. And also bays in Sevastopol, where most Russian ships are concentrated. Dzhankoy, Sevastopol, Novofedorivka or Guards are only a few probable goals of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Peninsula.

There are about two dozen objects in Crimea that are important as military bases or logistics centers, potential targets for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Let's look at each of the military components - marine, air and land, which according to our Western partners are absolutely legitimate goals for Ukraine. "The first and main part of the Russian group in the Crimea is the Black Sea Fleet together with the 22nd Army Corps of coastal troops. The latter is a relative innovation.

Only a few years in the fleet groups appeared a land component,"-explains the head of security programs, says focus. Center for Globalism "XXI Strategy", captain and rank Pavel Lakichuk. This building includes in particular the 126th Brigade of the Coast Guard with the dislocation point in the superior. It is a former Ukrainian unit, which in 2014 betrayed the oath and moved to the side of the enemy. Also, the 8th Separate Artillery Regiment is located.

In Sevastopol-the 810th Brigade of Marines and the 127th Separate Intelligence Brigade. It is worth noting that they were all involved in a full -scale offensive in Ukraine, and are now involved in hostilities in the south, and have serious losses. Open sources have information about the whole military cemeteries in the superior and in Sevastopol. But the main part of the Black Sea Fleet is marine. It includes, for example, the 30th division of surface ships.

These are rocket launchers, starting from the Fregters of the Project 11356, such as Admiral Makarov or Admiral Essen, and ending with Vasyl Bykov patrol ship. The last in August 2022 was injured in the Sevastopol Bay and released. They can all carry the winged caliber missiles. When it comes to frigates, the firing range for land purposes reaches 2 thousand km. Before a full -scale invasion of Ukraine, it was these frigates that were struck by missile strikes on Syria.

Russia keeps landing ships in the Black Sea not only the Black Sea Fleet, but also the Baltic and North. However, the latter are mostly hidden in the Novorossiysk Krasnodar region. But the availability of landing products does not give the enemy the benefits of lack of opportunity to carry out such operations. "The situation is such that landing ships in the Black Sea in the Russians, but there are no prepared paratroopers," continues Lakichuk.

"The main contingent, which is the 810th brigade and the 382th separate battalion of marine infantry, suffered significant losses-from the initial basic personnel There is very little composition. The number of skilled personnel who can and can carry out marine landing operations is limited. Therefore, the involvement of an operational strategic special forces is for Russians from the field of fiction. " It is worth mentioning separately the coastal missile troops of the Black Sea Fleet.

They include Bastion complexes with Onyx anti -ship missiles. Their positioning area is deployed in the area of ​​the Tarkhankut Peninsula, which is in the west of the Crimea. From this place, the Russians also strike in southern Ukraine. In the Black Sea, Russia has a submarine brigade. Namely six submarines of the project 636 "Warsaw". Each of them is the carrier of the Caliber-PL rockets for lanes for land purposes.

It is about "Rostov-on-Don", "Krasnodar", "Novorossiysk", "Old Oskol", "Great Novgorod", "Colpino". These boats were previously used to serve in the Mediterranean and used in Syria. "Submarines are dangerous because they can make winged maritime-based rockets" Caliber ", and it is difficult to detect them. -says the focus of the military-political observer" Information Resistance "Alexander Kovalenko. -For example, using appropriate anti-correspondent elements of prototic type.

It is difficult and virtually impossible. Therefore, the most effective can be the use of anti -ship missile systems on submarines, just when they are in a surface state in the bay of Sevastopol. But the stroke of the bay of Sevastopol and the destruction of these boats is impossible. when we are directly near the administrative border of the temporarily occupied peninsula of Crimea.

" The composition of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation is mainly based in Sevastopol (there are known cases where ships in the Sevastopol bay were attacked by surface drones and UAVs-ed. ), Part in Feodosia, where the scientific and testing center is located, and on the Donuzlav Lake. In total, there are ten existing military airfields used by the Russian occupation army in Crimea. Some of them are part of the Black Sea Fleet, others - the air cosmic forces of the Russian Federation.

First of all, experts mention the powerful grouping at the Belbek airfield in Sevastopol. In 2020 it was completely reconstructed-there was continued the runway so that it could take strategic bombers TU-22M3, Tu-160 and Tu-95MC. These are the planes that can be carried by winged missiles. The Russian command did not use Belbeck for strategic aviation, now other aerodromes are used for strokes, for example, Engels. Belbeck is now based mainly with fighter aviation in particular, Su-30.

It is also a hub for transport aviation. Another important airfield is located in Guards near Simferopol. "It is just in the middle of the Crimea Peninsula, and it turns out that Russian storms and tactical bombers who are stationed in Guards have a wide range of action in all directions, throughout the Ukrainian South," - said the head of the security programs of the Center of Globalism "XXI.

" Army aircraft is based on Janka's airfield: assault rifles, transport and shock helicopters-KA-52, Mi-28, Mi-35, Mi-8. In the photo of the American company Planet Labs, for October 31, 2022, journalists noticed - there are fifty. It is they who carry out fire support of the Russian forces during the strikes in Kherson, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhya regions. There are also many points of placement of anti-aircraft missile complexes and air defense, at least three warehouses with ammunition.

As for the Black Sea Fleet Maritime Aviation, it is based on airfields in Saki and Kachi. "Just in Sakakh (in Novofedorovka-the 43rd Separate Naval Aviation Regiment of Marine Aviation of the Black Sea Fleet-Ed. ) There are multi-purpose Su-30, Su-35 and Su-24m bombers, which perform plants to the south of Ukraine and patrol the North Ukraine -Western part of the Black Sea, "says Pavel Lakichuk.

In August 2022, a series of explosions occurred in Novofedorovka - international experts announced the destruction or serious damage to at least eight aircraft. Then for the first time in full -scale hostilities, Russian military targets were damaged at an operational depth - at a distance of more than 200 km from Ukrainian positions. In September 2022, the General Staff of the Armed Forces confirmed that it was a Ukrainian missile strike).

Of particular importance to the Russian army is the railway. Modern Russia has not passed the old, still time of the First World War, the concept, to use the railway to ensure military logistics. It is from the territory of the Russian Federation that most ammunition is transported to the peninsula, and then - to the occupied parts of Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions. In particular, caliber missiles.

It was their destruction that the General Directorate of the Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine on March 20 at Dzhanka. Then the rockets were taken by rail to Sevastopol for the 17th arsenal. Dzhankoy - is a railway node and a logistics center. It is there that all the trains that head from the north - Chongar and Perekop, the south - Sevastopol and Simferopol, the east - from the territory of the Russian Federation through the Kerch Bridge.

There are also intermediate temporary ammunition and ammunition. This is what makes it an important goal for Ukrainian aviation, drones and in the future artillery. Today, it is difficult to name with confidence where the Russian army retains its reserves of "calibers" and other winged missiles. It can be assumed that they are in warehouses in Inkerman guns near Sevastopol. This place is well protected and located near the berths. Despite this, Inkerman has repeatedly become a place of explosion.

Also, the Russians are likely to store rockets in the underground repositories of the 17th arsenal in the cracked beam of the north side, where there are also powerful rock shelters. As for the Land Forces, in nine years, large formations that have been operating on a permanent basis have not been formed. The Russian command believes that the Navy Army Corps is enough.

In Feodosia alone, in 2020-2021, the 56th Airborne Stock Regiment was placed, and in the northern Crimea in 2015-2016, a group of troops stationed on a temporary basis was formed. At that time, several defense lines were created in Armenian and Krasnoperekopsk. There were several battalions of the tactical group of the Southern Military District of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

Today, these are the rear bases for the southern group of Russian troops, which operates in Kherson and Zaporozhye. In general, experts surveyed by focus say that previous attacks on the Crimea, including the Crimean bridge and Novofedorivka, indicate that places that can be superseded for defeat by the Ukrainian forces on the Peninsula are now not available. The question is only in the right time for such operations.

"The counter -offensive actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the release of the occupied peninsula of Crimea are possible just when the army will be located directly near the administrative border Kherson. Provision of Crimea and control of the Azov Sea. " Russians can try to use marine and aviation logistics, but it cannot provide the necessary volumes of deliveries, which will significantly affect the combat capability of the Russian army.