"Sumy Sumy as a prelude": what to expect from the summer offensive of the Russian Federation - British General

"I do not think that they have the opportunity to break at an operational level. In military plan, we always say that tactical fights are conducted consistently in support of operational goals to achieve strategic goals. Will they have tactical successes? Of course, they will be," he said. The general confirmed that the invaders have a chance to capture individual villages or areas. According to him, Russian President Vladimir Putin looks at it as a proverb about the chicken that looks grain.

However, according to Chepman, the enemy will not reach operational breakthroughs, although his offensive company will press on the defense of Ukraine. "Do not think that the Russians - at least by the end of summer - will throw their heads into the big grueling battles in cities. They have learned something in the previous experience. Instead, they will try to perform wider surroundings, for example, around Sumy - as a prelude, if they manage to move further in Kherson, and Kharkiv.

To say that it is already Russian land - and thus again to make it part of the negotiation process. The British General noted that if Russia were seriously tuned, it would declare a general mobilization. However, the enemy is in the gap between the living force and the number of equipment that can be transferred to the front. At the same time, according to Chepman, the aggressor country is approaching the peak of its stocks in military equipment.

"Old Soviet warehouses and repair plants are emptied very quickly. Therefore, at some point they will reach the culmination in the military sense - that is, they will be able to move only to a certain limit, but not further. There is a gap between goals, ways and means," he emphasized. The military in the stock explained that the Russian Federation lacks the means to achieve the military and political goals that it sets.

The only way to change is to join the coalition, and to some extent the Kremlin does it by enlisting the support of the DPRK, China and Iran. "All this shows how difficult the war is. And there are so many variables that there cannot be linear forecasts for the future. As for me, there can be no decisive military victory," Chepman said. According to him, Ukrainian operations are aimed at the task of Russia's significant economic losses.

According to the Major General, it is the right path that allows you to approach the negotiation table with a position that can reach a fair and better peace for Ukraine. With a hostile vision, this is dramatically diverged, because the Russian Federation seeks to force peace through surrender. "The gap between these two approaches is not even a discrepancy, it is a real abyss. As for me, there are very little real opportunities for me to bring these positions right and equal," the British said.

Answering questions about the general forecast for the coming months, he explained that the situation could not be known exactly. However, in his opinion, the political support of Ukraine will be unconditional. "In military plan, we are in a phase of a slow grueling deadlock. That is, Russia will probably be slightly forward and capture some territory, but it will not be crucial," he added.

We will remind, on June 9, the head of the Center for the study of occupation Petro Andryushchenko announced a large -scale overturning of military equipment of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces from the south. He told where the enemy columns were moving. The Economist reported that record missile strikes in Ukraine are "only a prelude to the main event. " It is about the summer offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which enemy officers call "the last jerk".