Non -return point in war: which means the failure of London negotiations for Ukraine

The essence of the point of bifurcation - in the development of opportunities and phase transition. There are only two options here. The first is the following in the United States. The path of "obedience" and "acceptance" defined in Washington. In principle, such relationships are formed along the axis of the suzerain - Dominion. The vassal nature of relations is most indignant at part of Ukrainian society.

But this indignation is not based on mature feelings, because recently the same part of society applauded this format of relations with America, hoped for it and substantiated "usefulness" for Ukraine exactly such a format of geopolitical dependence. Although we understand that any form of dependence, if it is not transformed into interdependence, that is, into mature partnership is a disease. And the disease can only be treated.

That is, some of the society for some reason has perceived the geopolitical dependence on the United States only in positive connotation, through the prism of profits for Ukraine. Not assuming that "the Pope can not only give gifts, but also demand at least obedience. " And if there is no "obedience" - then the US will make a geopolitical "detachment" from our problems.

That is, the second option is the same "distortion" of the United States, and from "accelerating modules" in the context of war we have Britain and the EU. But again, without the obligations of the latter to spend, for example, 0. 25% of their GDP in support of Ukraine. And this is the minimum necessary for the war $ 50 billion. per year. And without these budgetary commitments, assistance will remain situational and medium -term, not long -term and strategic.

The purpose of the EU is also visible here. Europe is about three years old to adapt to the US departure or wait for America's return. In the next three years, Europe will be in the area of ​​geopolitical risk and weakening of the external sphere of security. That is, it is profitable to help Europe (almost by Hegel). Assistance to Ukraine for the EU is the removal of global risks and their localization on the outer circuit, not the invasion.

Moreover, the removal at the time of economic and military weakening of the EU, that is, in the period of maximum vulnerability. But who can guarantee that without strategic obligations to support Ukraine Europe will not take the current position of the United States in three years? For all the desire to believe in the word, such a format of situational partnership without strategic obligations is very unstable.