"Pray to not be too late": why the Russian Federation is ready for a new offensive - The Economist

Ukraine delayed the construction of fortifications, so as not to separate the occupied territories. In addition, the mobilization that is needed to stop the new offensive of the Russian Federation is delayed. Ukraine will have some relief of shelling and combat collisions in the next weeks. However, a new offensive will begin soon. At the same time, Russian troops will receive replenishment and take advantage of problems in Ukrainian defense and availability of weapons.

The current situation in the Russian-Ukrainian war is referred to in the article, which was published on March 27 by The Economist. The author of the Economist listed the possibilities of the Armed Forces and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which were due to certain political decisions, hostilities and opportunities of the defense industry. At the same time, even the weather conditions that affect the possibility of attacks and storms were taken into account.

As a result, it is stated that Russia will soon start a new offensive on Ukraine. Ukraine will meet this offensive, while the Russian Federation will increase at least fresh soldiers. The publication answered the question "What to expect the next few weeks?" It is stated that within a few weeks there will be some favorable circumstances for Ukrainians. For example, warming will make the Russian Armed Forces less dangerous on energy infrastructure.

In addition, the spring swamp will limit the possibility of offensive operations using heavy equipment. However, the Russian Federation will spend time "benefit", - the article reads. In particular, the Kremlin will use the terrorist attack in the City Hall Crocus Concert Hall to enliven the hatred of the Russians to Ukrainians. This has the hope that a new wave of mobilization will be "successfully".

After recruiting and teaching new troops, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will go on the offensive, confident in the publication. "Russia is afraid of a new big offensive, as it was last year. And Ukraine's ability to stay looks much less confident this time than then. " Meanwhile, Ukraine has a number of problems, journalists explained. "The idea that this line can be the basis for future peace talks, is exactly what Mr. Zelensky wanted to avoid.

But now the danger is so great that this is the least bad option. In recent weeks, the diggers have moved, the dragon's teeth are sowing. Start much earlier. Pray that it is not too late, "-completed the publication of its evaluation of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Earlier, Focus published an analysis of a number of experts, military and officials on the possibility of a new Russian offensive in 2024.

For example, the UK Ministry of Defense indicates that the current offensive actions of the Russian Federation are still ongoing. In particular, the enemy advanced in the Avdeevsky direction near the villages of Toneyke, Orlovka and Nevelske. However, he acknowledges that the movement of the Russians has slowed down somewhat.

Meanwhile, Sergey Gaidai, recently - the head of the Mukachevo district state administration, on March 25, he said that serious attacks of the enemy in the Sumy region were possible. In order to keep it, you need to complete the construction of fortifications, a confident official. The commander of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Pavlyuk spoke about the same. According to him, the Russian Federation collects a 100,000th army: where the offensive will be, it is unknown, but it will happen.