The Armed Forces reserve can stop the attacks of the Russian Federation: analysts named the scenarios of events near Kurakhov (map)

Emil Casthelma writes about it in the social network X. There can be two main areas in this operation: Selidove-Kurakhivka area and southern direction, where the enemy occurs on the site between Shakhtarsky and the Epiphany. Both have their own problems and threats. In a short time, Ukraine, apparently, lost Selidovo, where more than 21,000 people lived to a full -scale invasion. At the same time, the Russians also seized a miner (10,000 inhabitants before the invasion).

Currently, Russian troops continue to move to the east, trying to create a threat to the environment and make the Armed Forces retreat from Kurakhivka. Promotion to the Kurakhiv Reservoir will provide good starting positions. In the southern direction, the Russians advanced 10 km in a few days. Under their control, most of the miners and Novoukrainka and possibly Bogoyavlenko. The Ukrainian analyst Mortis Aeterna does not think that Ukraine can afford to lose its position here.

In his opinion, this is threatened with serious consequences. The problems will be clear, if you take into account the level of readiness of Ukraine: the Russians bypass the last fortified basic defensive positions in Novoukrainka, behind them trenches are not so much. And the current situation does not allow you to begin to reduce fortifications.

Among other things, the pace of Russian promotion and aviation opportunities will probably not allow Ukraine to pull up construction equipment close to the front without large losses. In the overall picture, these are the most fortified and most suitable areas with the best natural obstacles. However, in the worst scenario, Russians can get around the flank. The author of the publication provides two possible worship scenarios.

Having reached the Kurakhiv reservoir, the Russians will continue to advance in the direction of Andreevka. Promotion along the hills on which Andreevka is located will mainly negate its defensive advantages. At the same time, the offensive from the south will continue through the fields without fortifications, also in the direction of Andreevka - as a result, it will make the Armed Forces depart from Kurakhiv fortress. Here is the same idea, but smaller.

Russian "ticks" close behind the back of the Kurakhov defenders in the country, which leads to the need for retreat from Kurakhov to the height of Andreevka. The author considers it quite possible that the Armed Forces will be able to relocate reserves to the area and nullify mechanized attacks before any of the above mentioned worst scenarios are realized. However, if the current trends persist, Ukraine may lose Kurakhovo by the end of 2024.