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There will be no peace talks in Lviv, there will be preparation of "small compromises" with Russia

"Two key negotiation topics are an intermediate compromise between Ukraine and the Russian Federation and the expansion of Istanbul agreements. " Opinion. We. We from Ukraine from Lviv Randogan, Erdogan, Zelensky and Guterresh: what is it about? I think there will be 2 key topics for negotiations: Erdogan is necessary as a diplomatic victory, strengthening your mediator status and locking more and more issues that will be part of any post-war peaceful settlement.

We need it to unlock exports and restart the economy, especially before the heavy autumn and winter period. Russia can be interesting as a way of "crushing" one big topic into "small compromises" - a strategy that they have already implemented after 2014, and which involves achieving compromises on small issues in exchange for the same small, situational concessions from the event, For example, creating a "trial" in a sanction curtain.

Turkey is the main beneficiary of any peace agreements between the Russian Federation and Ukraine. By and large, Ankara is not fundamental what will be the terms of the truce/peace, so that it will happen with the direct participation of Ankara with the consolidation of the status of a key regional player and a guarantor of the safety of a new post -war schedule.

Therefore, you should not be surprised by the assistance with which Erdogan constantly violates the topic of negotiations and meetings of Zelensky-Putin in Istanbul. At present, I do not see any conditions for conducting full and serious peace talks. However, like preliminary grain agreements, there is a likelihood of reaching another "small compromise" that Turkey is hoping for. With the situation around the ZPP, I also do not see any possible decisions. The territory is occupied by Russia.

To access it, you need to knock them from there or press through international partners. The pressure is unlikely to work. Therefore, the arrival of Erdogan, in my opinion, will not change the situation around the NPP, unless, again, Russia is not offered something in the logic of "small compromises", withdrawing this issue with a separate package of arrangements.