The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation accumulate forces for Pokrovsk and Toretsk: what happens in the central section of the front

Today, the enemy's advanced units have been able to enter the border of Berdychi - Pervomaisky and continue active offensive actions towards Netaylovy, Umansky and seek to break through Burdich and Semenivka towards Novopokrovsky and Novoselivka of the First. That is, the enemy seeks to accomplish the following task: after Avdiivka still go to the border of the reed-Uman.

The question is whether he will have enough for this strength, whether he will still be forced to take a certain operational pause for this. Initially, the enemy's forces and means operating in this direction. UV "operates" as part of the 2nd and 41st All-Military Armies (IDA) from the Central Military District (CSV), most of the 1st Army Corps (AK) from the 8th IVA (YUVO) and 90- her separate tank division (OTD), also from the CVA.

The lane of his responsibility includes Pokrovsky and Toretsky directions. At this stage, its main efforts of its command concentrates precisely on the first, in particular, the greatest activity at this stage reveals: the enemy, in this sense, clearly seeks on the left flank of the "Center" to break through to Umansky and enter the shore of the Karlovsky reservoir on the border - Nedaylovo.

In general, the enemy currently has: a relatively small number of armored vehicles in the part of the parts and compounds of UV Center is explained by significant losses in these types of OWTs, which they have incurred during and after the battles for Avdiivka. However, well, a very powerful artillery group, which has more than 1000 units of barrel and jet artillery, still allows the enemy to continue active offensive actions in the specified direction.

As far as I understand, the troops of the 2nd and part of the 1st AK are now taking direct part in the offensive actions, the vast majority of forces and means of the 41st General is brought to the second echelon, where it is actively replenished with personnel and OWT. And most likely, it will be introduced into the battle as an "Echelon of Development of the Uspekha" in the event of a significant breakthrough in the Armed Forces defense system in the Pokrovsky direction.

Currently, the distribution of forces in the "center" of the enemy is as follows. The Toretsky direction is one separate motorized rifle brigade (OMSBR)-132-a, from the 1st AK + 9 formations of the battalion-pillow level not quite clear "etymology" type "Separate Rifle Regiment" or "Volunteer Battalion Arbat (Tatarstan), etc. . D. " Another of this kind of battalion is in the reserve and is subordinated to the 132nd OMSBR.

The Pokrovsky direction here is concentrated by the main forces of "Center"-up to 10 separate motorized rifles (OMSBR), not less than 23 motor-rifle, tank and small-rifle regiments (SME, TP, JV), up to 13 separate motorized rifles, tank and rifle battalions (OMSB , Otb and OSB) + up to 4 erected tactical detachments of the Battalion-Rota Battalion-Rota type, storm, etc.

That is, when General Budanov speaks of a very likely offensive of the enemy in the Pokrovsky direction, then his statement is based on the assessment of a very real distribution of enemy forces and means, which now exists in the Center.

What is the main operational design of the enemy, with regard to the desire to break as deeply as possible to the west in the Pokrovsky direction? As for me, in two main things: that the enemy "cooks" in this direction is said at least two things: but obviously, "offensive on Pokrovsk" or Selidovo is not an end in itself something.

" For me, the "Toretsky version" is the most likely, especially given the stubborn desire of the neighboring "South" to break through the time of Yar towards Konstantinovka.

Today, the enemy seeks in the lane of the UV Center to provide two main tasks - to ensure the continuity of its offensive (and accordingly, not to give the Armed Forces the opportunity to fix and build a constant defense system in this direction), as well as to prepare a sufficient reserve component for more in -depth and intensive offensive actions in adjacent (flank) directions. And more likely, this "retention" in the direction we, most likely, will see after a clearly short pause.

Just to be clear. In the composition of only two groups of the enemy - "Yug" and "Center" - in the eastern operating area there are more than 210 thousand Russian servicemen (this is from the Siverskyi Donets to the district of the south of Novomykhailivka, that is, with the exception of the strip of UV "in the northern part of Luhansk region. in the southeastern regions of Kharkiv).

This is an order of magnitude more than the group that "widening widenly" into the territory of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 in general. And if you add to this and the War, which operates in Kupyansk and Liman directions (even without taking into account the group covering), it will be more than 300,000 carcasses. Agree, such a distribution of enemy forces and means eloquently indicates the current and, quite possibly future (closest) priorities in its plans.