According to him, a large -scale, but at the same time desperate wave of active actions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the forefront can begin in February. The enemy intends to continue attempts to fully occupy Avdiivka of Donetsk region. "And it is the phenomena we can see now. The Russian command uses the mostly units of the 1st Army Corps near Avdiivka, and these are mobilized so-called" DNR ".
In this case, regular troops, which are most capable They often appear during hostilities. That is, there is a savings of this resource, " - said Alexander Kovalenko. Separately, the expert stated that in 2023 the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation focused near Avdiivka 40 thousand people from personnel, and at the beginning of 2024 their number increased to 45 thousand. Accordingly, we can conclude that the grouping increases and this will continue.
Oleksandr Kovalenko is convinced that the main wave he called desperate will still be ahead. "It will occur in February, when the appropriate resource will be accumulated by the enemy. Also, the assault actions of the Russians on the Left Bank Kherson region will continue in the direction of Krynoks. They will not stop there, just as in the area -Politic observer.
According to some calculations of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it was supposed to start attacks in the area of coal before the New Year, but this did not happen. This may indicate that the enemy wants to accumulate more resources for a more powerful offensive. In the first quarter of the year in this direction may be especially active, said Alexander Kovalenko.
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