By Natali Moss
It cannot be said that escalation was some surprise after the Kremlin has taken a course for escalation - a decision on mobilization and official annexation of the territories of Ukraine - Lukashenko's role as a passive participant in this conflict will no longer satisfy ", - the journalist said.
According to him, Lukashenko will now have to determine somehow: either sharply distant, which would be a very bold and risky step on his part, or, conversely, to maintain escalation and raising rates in the war. Ilyash also added that it is difficult to say now whether everything will end with direct participation in the war in Ukraine of the Russian army. At the same time, what is happening in Belarus is reminiscent of preparation for war. But it will take some time, maybe several months.
During this time, Lukashenko may have the opportunity to escape from Putin and not participate in the war, which is likely to take advantage of the direct participation in favor of the Belarusian politician. Recall that Belarus continues to supply the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation with military equipment. Such a statement was made by the monitoring group. In the last few weeks, the Russian military received at least 70 tanks from Belarus.
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