According to him, Russian generals also want to report to their authorities about "good news" from the front. The expert stated that the Kremlin wanted to convince the event that the war has gone into a dead end. To do this, Russia tries to influence public opinion. "If you listen to the latest statements of Orban or the new premiere of Slovakia, they just repeat the Putin narratives about the failure of the Ukrainian offensive, the unpromising support of Ukraine, etc.
That is, we see that this Russian tactic works to some extent," Melnyk said. He stated that Russia's actions can also be directed to the Russians, as President Vladimir Putin, who goes to the 2024 election, wants to get additional legitimation. However, the Russian Federation is increasingly raised about the end purpose of the war and its duration, since there is no great success at the front of the invaders. Melnyk said there was a danger of critical reduction of military support from the West.
"But since there is uncertainty about how much this war will continue, we need to constantly keep in mind that in the medium term, the situation may not change in our favor," he said. Recall that in the report of December 20, the ISW analysts reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation went on the offensive on three sides to Avdiivka. The enemy argued that he slightly advanced southwest of the city near Pervomaisky, but experts did not observe the visual evidence of this.
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