Destruction of Marinka and the occupation of Avdiivka. Named the main goals of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to Putin's inauguration

The capture of Marinka took place on a similar scenario with Bakhmut: whole streets with residential quarters were destroyed. Military analysts have warned that the next could be Avdiivka and Novomikhailivka with the flanks under the coledar. Focus found out whether the Russian Federation would be able to perform successful operations in eastern Ukraine in early 2024.

The Russian army seizes Marinka of Donetsk region, Ukrainian military is only in the northern part of the city and forced to depart on the outskirts. On December 25, Minister Sergey Shoigy reported on December 25, Vladimir Putin on December 25 about the occupation of Marinka. The capture of the city made it possible to push the artillery from the Armed Forces from Donetsk and gave the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation "additional opportunities", the official indicated.

The Ukrainian Military Command denied the allegation of the displacement of the Armed Forces from Marinka. The commander -in -chief Valery Zaluzhny at a briefing on December 26 for the first time recognized the loss of the city. The situation in Marinka, according to him, is completely identical to Bakhmut - Russian invaders destroyed entire streets with residential quarters.

British Air Force British Radio Stations claim that the Russian army renovated not only destroyed structures in Marinka, but also a field for maneuver. For them the possibility of attacks on Novomikhailivka, the nearest stronghold of the Armed Forces. In case of success, they will extend the offensive on the bridgehead of the Ukrainian army in the area of ​​coal.

"Since the battles for Novomikhailovka have already begun, we can assume that the Russian command proceeded to realize this plan," analysts said. The American Institute of War Study on December 26 draws gloomy forecasts: local operations of Russians in eastern Ukraine can turn into a successful tactical offensive. Speaking of possible continuation of attacks in the Donbass, Valery Zaluzhni emphasized that Avdiivka risks repeating Bakhmut's script in the next two to three months.

The defense forces for such a schedule will have to retreat to keep the personnel and release the settlement later. The commander of the operational-strategic group of Tavriya troops brigade General Alexander Tarnavsky calls Avdiivka the main direction of the strike of the army of the Russian Federation. "Avdiivka is in the direction of their main blow. Marinka is a different direction. Novomikhailivka is, for example, a distracting direction.

Novopavlovsky direction also has its purpose," Tarnavsky said. It is not necessary to wait for the new year of the occupation of Avdiivka, as well as the success of the invaders in other directions, says the coordinator of the group "Information Resistance", military expert Alexander Kovalenko tells the focus. Russian propagandists will long represent Marinka as an epic victory, and Putin will represent her voters in New Year's greetings.

After the New Year's celebration, the pressure on Avdiivka will increase, the Russian occupation group will increase from 40 to 60 thousand people to finally surround the city before the beginning of the election campaign in Russia. "Putin has to go to the people with another victory, Marinka is clearly not enough. The effectiveness of his so -called is needed," the expert comments.

Novomikhailivka can turn into the next direction, which will allow the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to advance on the coal from the north. The likelihood of advancement on the curakhov is weak, because in this area there is a difficult relief and strong defensive boundaries of the Armed Forces.

It is quite obvious in the new year to continue the increase of Russian forces in the Kupyansk district and to return the control over the Kigchivka and Andreevka, the capture of Ivanovsky and the exit at the time of Yar, Kovalenko thinks. In the Zaporizhzhia region, the threat of counter -offensive is in the area of ​​Robovy, Verov and Novoprokopivka. In any case, the first half of the next year will be difficult and the defense forces of Ukraine will go to defense, he adds.

"Intense fighting will begin in early 2024 and will continue until the election of the President of Russia. After that, the fighting will decline due to the need for losses. Putin may declare mobilization, but there will still be an operational pause," - summed up the specialist. We will remind, the head of the Avdiiv City Military Administration Vitaliy Barabash recently told about the "meat grinder" in a city that works at full capacity for the occupiers.