"The most dangerous situation on the front": three reasons are named why Russian troops are coming in eastern Ukraine

After the admiration of Avdiivka in the West, they talk about the most dangerous situation for the Ukrainian army since the beginning of a full -scale war. The Russian Federation has achieved temporary success on the front for a number of reasons, including a change in the Armed Forces leadership and a critical shortage of artillery ammunition. The focus understood where Russian troops could still take the attack.

The Ukrainian military could be in the most dangerous position from the first months of a full -scale war with Russia. The lack of ammunition and the cessation of US military assistance has significantly complicated the continuation of intense battles on the front line over 1500 kilometers, describes the combat situation of the New York Times (NYT) newspaper. The Russian offensive was divided into five main areas: Avdiivskyi, Mariinsky, Robovinsky, Kreminsky and Bakhmutsky.

How far the invaders will move beyond Avdiivka and whether Ukrainian soldiers have equipped the following lines of defense, unknown, state analysts. The capture of Marinka enabled the army of the Russian Federation to switch to the future to the coal, an important stronghold of the Armed Forces. The military who are in the area of ​​this city are convinced that the fall of Avdiivka will enable Russian troops to activate attacks from the north.

The Ukrainian command claims that a large group is concentrated in the area of ​​the Robina and Orikhiv direction. Its number exceeds the living power of the enemy in the Avdiivka area. According to NYT, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are moving in two directions from Kreminna: to Kupyansk in the north and to the estuary in the south. Russia has held about 110,000 servicemen in the area for several months.

The Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrsky recently warned about the plans of the Russians to break Ukrainian defense in the area of ​​the time ravine of Donetsk region. The capture of the city will give the enemy control over the ruling heights, and Kramatorsk will be under artillery fire. The situation is tense, requires constant monitoring and prompt decision -making on the ground, emphasizes the command of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces.

The window for the offensive of the Russian army was opened at the expense of several components. According to the veteran of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Major of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexei Hetman, the first factor was the change of the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. "Generals in new positions (obviously referring to the Armed Forces Head of the Armed Forces - ed. ) It takes time to enter into business and familiarize with operational tasks.

Usually, a high -ranking military was given six months to enter a higher position. There is no so much time in a great war. " - explains the focus expert. The second component is the change of weather conditions and the ability to move heavy equipment. The third and main factor is the lack of artillery shells to repel the enemy. "All three reasons have influenced the activation of Russian troops in the five directions.

How critical of the situation? We keep defense, normal forecasts cannot Ukrainian artillery from Tokmak, a large railway hub, "adds the hetman. In addition to the problem of lack of ammunition in the Armed Forces, another problem is added - tightening the reserves of the Russian Army. Obviously, so the enemy moves in the area of ​​the robot and Bakhmut, says military expert Mikhail Zhirokhov. The tactics of the Russians, as the specialist says, has not changed since the Second World War.

The military strikes at different points of the front and monitor the "subsidence" of the enemy's defense. The weakest area will be the main direction of attacks. "The Russian command has not yet found such a site, so it throws soldiers in five directions. It is likely that after the capture of Avdiivka, attacks on adjacent settlements will continue.

The Russian Federation has already grown forces of the Armed Forces near the village of Lastokne," - emphasizes the expert in a conversation with focus. It is worth noting that the gloomy predictions of Western analysts about the situation in Ukraine have not always come true. Now they are based on the delay in Washington's decision to send military assistance to Kiev.

It should not be forgotten that the defense capabilities of the Armed Forces are supported by the countries of Europe: Denmark transmits all its artillery and urged the rest of the countries to follow them an example, says Focus military analyst Dmitry Snegirev. "In the West, they were told for a long time about the possible offensive of the Russians in the spring. I note that it has not stopped from the beginning of the Great War.

Now in the plans of the occupiers - control of the entire Donetsk region. The intensity of fighting has increased because of this. And the situation with Avdiivka Moscow will use more demoralization of the Ukrainian army and society, " - summed up the expert. The focus earlier analyzed the possible options for promoting Russian troops after the capture of Avdiivka. An important stronghold was defended by Pokrovsk, the threat of the offensive is maintained on Selidovo.