The Russian army is 30km from Kharkiv, but it will be difficult to capture the city - ISW (map)

"Currently, Russian troops are about 30 kilometers from the outskirts of Kharkiv, and the promotion of Russian troops up to 20 kilometers from the city, will probably allow the Russian troops to run a routine non -targeted fire on Kharkiv from the Treasury Artillery," the report reads.

Analysts have specified that the offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Kharkiv region is needed by Russians to achieve a strategic effect - the distraction of Ukrainian live power and technology from other critical areas of the front in eastern Ukraine. According to ISW estimates, Russian troops will most likely be difficult to capture the city of Kharkiv if they aim to do it.

"Russian troops have previously demonstrated the inability to conduct large -scale offensive operations in several directions at the same time, and the Russian military seems to have not created a" strategic reserve "on a scale that could support two or more large -scale offensive operations in the near future.

To seize Kharkiv will probably demand from the Russian troops the deprying of other critical areas of the front and the redeployment of a large number of forces to the area of ​​the international border, to which Russian troops are unlikely to go, given the ancient purpose of the Russian military - to capture the rest of the territory of Lugansk and Donetsk regions. In the report.

According to ISW estimates, Russian troops have advanced in the direction of Vovchansk, but have no corresponding evidence to evaluate the approximate front line in close proximity. At the same time, geolocation frames confirm that Russian troops have seized close.

"Isw with a high destiny assesses, based on a reliable Ukrainian reporting and the prevailing amount of evidence that Russian troops have captured Sagittarius, Krasne and Borisovka, but have not yet seen the geolocation confirmation of this evaluation," the analysts said. We will remind, in the morning on May 10 an attempt on the offensive in Kharkiv region was confirmed in the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.