Alaska traps: Three basic scenarios of future Trump and Putin's future conversation

True, Trump, as for me, deeply to spit. It is worth noting that the Russian media seems to have received a single message and everyone writes something of their own, as he guesses he himself should write. The only exception is the warrior who have been instructed to extinguish negative expectations and "betrayal" that Putin is not just met with Americans, but may even give up the idea to completely destroy Ukraine.

It speaks only of one thing: the Russian authorities do not understand how the conversation goes, and leaves a backlash. In general, the conversation has two practically equivalent aspects: borders and sanctions. And the economic situation in Russia is such that sanctions in terms of logic are more important abroad. However, the logic here is not the strongest place of Putin. In general, we can talk about three basic scenarios of Trump -Putin conversation.

Immediately it should be noted that these are basic scenarios, each of which will have a number of invariants. But this is only part of the conversation. The main one is for me, and as long as the closed part of the negotiations is about withdrawing sanctions and possible preferences for the United States. The proposal of the Russians, voiced three months ago, about the joint development of the Arctic is too expensive and very long. Therefore, this can only be an annex to other proposals.

Another proposal to create joint trade houses under the American flag that will trade in the EU products looks unrealistic because of the position of Europe. Until we understand what the modality of withdrawing these sanctions will be, but I repeat, it, as for me, will be the main part of the conversation. Everything will become clear tomorrow. But Trump does not really sly when he says that everything will become clear in the first minutes of conversation.

And no matter how strange it may sound, as of now, Putin himself does not understand, but how he will lead the same conversation. The fact is that he has no good options. The end of the war is a conflict with a cheers-patriotic part of society that will go into proactive opposition, albeit a kitchen in the first stage. The disruption of negotiations will mean increasing secondary sanctions and accelerating the recession of the Russian economy.