USD
41.82 UAH ▼0.04%
EUR
48.79 UAH ▼0.22%
GBP
56.36 UAH ▼0.08%
PLN
11.5 UAH ▲0.18%
CZK
1.98 UAH ▼0.12%
According to a military expert, Dara Massicot, without the help of allies and se...

There are vulnerable places in the Russian Federation: the turning point of the war in Ukraine will come to this summer - the analyst

According to a military expert, Dara Massicot, without the help of allies and serious changes in the Kyiv Strategy, will continue to worsen. War in Ukraine can reach a turning point this summer. Because if the event does not intervene and give Kiev weapons and ammunition necessary to continue the fight against the invaders, "there will be a non -return point. " This was reported by military analyst Dara Massicot in an interview with Foreign Affairs.

"Inventories of critical ammunition for advanced Ukrainian units are declining, and soldiers are forced to adhere to the norm . . . Some units feel a significant lack of live power," she said, noting that "Russia's benefits in live power, technology and defense production have increased over the past year ".

Therefore, in her opinion, the US should continue to fulfill its obligations to Kiev - otherwise, without the help and serious changes in the Kyiv strategy, Ukraine will continue to deteriorate until it reaches the turning point, probably until the summer. "Without an increase in the military assistance of the West and serious changes in the Kyiv strategy, Ukraine will continue to deteriorate until it reaches a turning point, perhaps this summer," she added.

As a result, the expert warns, "Ukrainian soldiers will suffer - not because they lack the desire to fight or they do not know the weaknesses of their enemy, but because of the lack of ammunition and living power. " "The Russian forces have vulnerable places that can be used and the benefits that can disappear over time, but only if Ukraine gets what it needs now," she summed up. Dara Massicot is a senior researcher at Rand Corporation, who deals with Russia's defense and security issues.

Earlier, she also expressed an opinion about the war in Ukraine. Yes, she stated that she did not consider the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine - "pathogen". According to her, Russia has taken over the initiative from late autumn, as the Ukrainian counter -offensive reached the culmination. According to experts in the field of defense and security in Eurasia, "the Kremlin is ready to suffer long losses for a long time, but Ukraine cannot afford to act in a similar way.

" She also stated that it was early to say that the advantage was moving to Russia's side. The expert noted that the Russian army has a quantitative advantage in the live force, which it can mobilize in the future, at the higher daily consumption of artillery ammunition, in the production of shells and missiles. According to her, Russia wants the war to continue on its terms, so that the Russian army can deplete Ukraine and the West in the war for exhaustion and in mutual artillery shelling.

Dara Massicot also stated that Putin's success would add confidence to countries interested in invasion of a neighboring state. It should be reminded that the media wrote that the war in Ukraine flows into a new phase. The Russian Federation attacks Ukraine in several directions along the 1000-kilometer front. Moscow knows that the Armed Forces lacks fighters and ammunition. The way out for Kiev is the construction of fortifications.

And President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes that the world is not ready for the fact that the leader of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin will "lose his power. " Also, almost 2 years have passed since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of troops into the territory of Ukraine. The Business Insider portal has published several scenarios on how the conflict could end.