The possible consequences of the truce in Ukraine and the ceasefire in the Black Sea are referred to in the NYT article. Journalists spoke with the spokesman of the Navy of the Armed Forces Dmitry Pletenchuk, other representatives of the military command, with analysts and local entrepreneurs. The interlocutors told the media about the everyday activities of the military who protect the ports from the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
At the same time, commercial vessels approach the berths, load and carry Ukrainian grain abroad. People with whom NYT spoke recognize that the truce has two sides. The first side is likely to stop rocket and drone blows in cities and ports. The second is that Ukraine may lose the advantage in a single war zone where it won, explained the publication.
"The military and commercial achievements of Ukraine in these waters have forced many in Odessa to think about the following question: does Ukraine have something to get something from such a truce?" - the article says. The publication explained what the Kremlin demands a roar in the Black Sea. In particular, Russians would like to return to Istanbul agreements on the grain corridor, according to which they had the right to inspect every ship that goes or returns from the ports of Ukraine.
On the other hand, the NYT drew attention to the fact that Ukraine feels so strong in the sea that it can abandon the agreement with the Russian Federation on these issues. "Ukraine can now afford to abandon the ceasefire in the Black Sea, eloquently talks about sharp changes in fate there," journalists wrote. The forces of Ukraine's defense with the help of drones and rockets destroyed a third of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation, and what remained was pushed to the east coast.
Two years after the agreement on the UN mediation on the Grain Corridor ceased to operate, the trade through Ukrainian ports almost reached the pre -war level, NYT found out. For example, in 2024, Ukraine exported 42 million tons of grain and oilseeds - that is, 80% of pre -war volumes. "Against this background, experts do not see the benefits of Ukraine from the Black Sea ceasefire.
Meanwhile, the head of the Black Sea Institute for Strategic Studies Andriy Klimenko explained what the advantage of the Kremlin will have. If the Black Sea truce takes place, the Russian Federation will be able to return its warships to the central areas of the sea and this can lead to a counterattack in Ukraine, he told reporters. It should be noted that in March the United States held three rounds of negotiations in Saudi Arabia and declared a step to a truce in Ukraine.
According to the White House statement, there is an agreement to cease fire on the energy and in the Black Sea. At the same time, the Russian Federation stated that they need free movement of Russian cereals and fertilizers, as well as the abolition of sanctions on "Rosselhozbank". In addition, the Kremlin demanded that the bank connect to the SWIFT system, but in the EU recalled that this restriction would be abolished only when the Russian Federation released the occupied territories.
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