We need a large -scale counter -attack: the Armed Forces can be surrounded by Russian troops on the southern flank Pokrovskaya - isw (map)

According to analysts, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are moving to Selido to protect themselves. But to pass open fields north of Krasnogorivka, successful mechanized attacks will be needed, which is usually difficult to troops. Concerning the Selidovoy, in the direction of Ukrainian and Minek, the Russian command is likely to try to eliminate a relatively large Ukrainian speech on the southern region of the territory captured by the Russians in the direction of Pokrovsk.

These positions of Ukrainians threaten the further promotion of the occupation group. About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of August 29. Ukrainian positions east of Selidovo - Ukrainian - Minek - pose a certain threat to the Russian rear in the direction of Pokrovsk. The Command of the Russian Federation is probably concerned about Ukrainian counterattacks.

Against this background, the Russians unfold logistics, artillery elements and concentrate personnel in the event, in the front of the performance. The Russian command also seeks to expand and stabilize positions from the south in the area, so that after the offensive on Pokrovsk is completed, not to allow the Armed Forces to threaten the territorial conquest obtained by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in 2024.

The width of the Russian speech is approximately 21 km from Ukrainian positions to the east of Selidovo-Ukrainian-Girnyk north of Avdiivka along the H-20 route (Avdiivka-Konstantinovka). The positions of the Armed Forces along the E-50 route (Donetsk-Pokrovsk) to the northwest are located approximately 13 km from Avdiivka, while the current line of the Russian offensive along the Novogrodivka-Grodivka district is located 30 km from Avdiivka.

Large -scale Ukrainian counterattacks from the basis of the speech in the direction of Avdiivka can threaten the surroundings of the Russian group before Ukrainian positions. Therefore, the command of the Russian Federation is likely to protect itself and eliminate the Ukrainian performance on the southern flank of Pokrovskaya.

The Russian forces, apparently, hope that the promotion to the Ukrainian and the miner will support the current offensive west of Donetsk, and that the offensive pressure from both directions will destroy Ukraine's defense or make it retreat from limited positions in rural areas to the east of the Ukrainian and Miner. The area north of Krasnogorivka mainly consists of open fields with limited shelter or a small number of windproof stripes.

To promote the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation through this area, it is likely that significant successful mechanized attacks that Russian forces are usually conducted with difficulty. In the direction of the Pokrovsk Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, it is better to promote between settlements in small infantry groups. But it is still necessary to find out whether the Russian infantry can maintain the pace of promotion as the Ukrainian and the Minek.