The main directions for Russia attack in the summer: where is the biggest threat to Ukrainian defense

The head of GUR Kirill Budanovzazayazayazayazayajuzayazayazayauzayauzayauzayauzayauzayauzayauzayau that the Russian army at the end of spring - in the beginning of the liter will be in advance to the increased offensive. Military experts have told focus that for Russia, there is only an option for Russia, which is already on the existing front line and called the priority directions to attack the invaders.

Military expert Dmitry Snegirev noted that the offensive of the Russians, which began in October did not end, and on the contrary, the last events on the front line testified that the occupiers have tactical successes on almost all areas of the front. In his opinion, by May, the Russians will try to enter the administrative border of Donetsk region, so that, taking into account the status quo on the line of combat collision, to enter the so-called "peaceful talks".

The expert named the directions on which Russia is likely to focus on an advanced offensive. "The main direction for the Russians is Bakhmutsky. It is the time of the ravine, which actually covers the further promotion of Russian invaders into the depths of the Ukrainian territories, namely Konstantinovka, Slavyansk, Kramatorsk. That is, the largest industrial cities of Donetsk region, which are controlled by the Armed Forces They are key points of Ukrainian defense.

He stressed that the offensive is leading throughout the front. Snegirev also noted that the offensive will occur simultaneously in the Mariinsky direction, which is currently observed. "There are quite serious tactical successes of the occupiers. There is currently an offensive in the Lyman direction. Fighting in the Bigorivka area of ​​Luhansk region. In addition, Snegirev noted that the Russians have now changed the tactics of hostilities.

"For the first time in almost a year applied to all areas of the front sections of armored groups of invaders during the storm of positions of defense forces. It was not such. It is observed in the area of ​​the time ravine, in the Avdiivsky direction, the Mariinsky direction and the Lyman direction. Another question that the Armed Forces successfully successfully. They destroy the severe armored vehicles of the Russians.

Mayor Igor Terekhov said that the enemy wanted to do everything for people in the east of Ukraine to panic and feel stress. Terekhov assured that information on social networks about preparation for total evacuation from Kharkiv is part of the Russian IPSO. And President Volodymyr Zelenskyy does not deny the possibility of Russian offensive on Kharkiv.

The head of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation Serhiy Kuzan said that now the resources, troops, and the strength to occupy Kharkiv from the Russians. "In order for such resources to appear, they need to create a new group and much more than they tried to enter Kharkiv in 2022. Then it was about 11-13 thousand people, but these were personnel troops and good Completed. This process will not go unnoticed to our intelligence, "Kuzan says.

Therefore, according to him, now it is only an option for them to reinforce the group, which is already on the existing front line. "Because they have not yet fulfilled their main task, which was set to them last fall.

That is, the breakthrough of our front line and reaching the administrative boundaries We have not been able to break through and we see what they do? So, according to him, the Russians do not accumulate any forces, do not prepare positions somewhere in the Kharkiv direction, but rather try to activate somehow. "They try to go to more favorable boundaries in order to carry out a full offensive campaign, as the president said in early summer.

Now they have no strength to go to the boundaries of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Now we are talking exclusively about the front line. This is, for example, in the Bakhmut direction. He noted that the maintenance of Bakhmut does not matter without holding the time ravine, because the time of the ravine is at height. "And in the presence of sufficient artillery can be kept under fire control all the lowlands, including Bakhmut," - the cousin of focus.

Kuzan noted that the access to Kupyansk, to Kupyansk-Nuzlovy, to the Oskil River, the Osquil Reservoir-this is what allows the Russians to control the railway, to control the entrances of the paths and this will be sufficient borders to then be with then from The more profitable positions to start such a large -scale offensive. "Again, the Liman direction, such as the Serebryansk forestry is for the fighting. The coal is like a bone in their throat.

That is, they want to go out to Kurakhovo, and thus cut the front line, that's our inquiry to move us from Donetsk-Volnovakha's ways, "Kuzan said. During the summer counter -offensive, the Ukrainian military, in particular, released the robot. Kuzan noted focus that the occupiers want to offset the successes of the Ukrainian summer offensive campaign, namely to cut the so -called "robotical balcony", cut the Wremovsky performance. "These are the achievements where we have advanced.

But we have taken more favorable positions and wedged into their defensive line. And their task is to restore it all that they have better positions. And of course they are hiding. They can take control of the left bank of the Dnieper, "said Cuzan Focus. Summarizing Kuzan, he noted that the situation may change given the dynamics of events, but as of now, Russians try to break through in the areas described, in particular in Lymansky, Kupyansk, Bakhmut directions.

One of the main problems for the Armed Forces is the lack of ammunition for artillery. Which does not allow you to advance and defend itself effectively. Partners of Ukraine are trying to solve this problem. But the Armed Forces find a solution - how to replace art. Polish Foreign Minister Radoslav Sikorsky stated that the supply of shells for Ukraine under the Czech initiative has already begun, however, the exact timing of their delivery is not yet known.

The Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavsky reported that Ukraine could potentially receive 1. 5 million shells within the Czech initiative. According to Snegirev by the end of May, the Ukrainian side should receive artillery shells on the Czech initiative - a million shells. "On the initiative of the EU countries, which declared the accelerated nature of the sending of artillery shells - 500 thousand. If summed up, it is 1, 5 million Sniars," said Snegirev Focus.

He noted that the Russian Federation is currently able to produce up to 10 thousand shells a day, a month 300 thousand "respectively, having received so many shells of the Armed Forces, which can currently meet 2 thousand shells, causing a blow to the positions of the occupiers, leveling This coefficient, " - said Snegirev Focus. Kuzan noted that resources in Ukraine are more or less sufficient to defense in Ukraine. However, these are not optimal indicators.

They are not enough for offensive actions. In December 2023, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that a million drones in 2024 would be produced in Ukraine. In April this year, digital transformation Minister Mikhail Fedorov said that Ukraine had increased UAV production ten. According to Kuzan, the development and growth of drone production is launched in order to compensate for the lack of ammunition that we have.