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Ivan Primachenko co -founder of Prometheus educational courses, so Putin has pub...

The main conclusion from Putin's speech. What means "partial mobilization" in

Ivan Primachenko co -founder of Prometheus educational courses, so Putin has publicly recognized Russia in the first stage of the war with Ukraine when your "special operation" against a "non -existent state" that "lasts a couple of weeks" in seven months requires the announcement Otherwise, as a failure will not work. Video day, but it was no longer possible to delay mobilization.

The defeat of the occupation troops under the raisin and the difficult situation of the Kherson group demonstrated that the Russian army was in front of a military catastrophe on the horizon of 6-12 months. Lack of living power is far from the only one, but an important reason for this state of affairs. Partial mobilization will not be effective and fast.

The Russian army will continue to lack morality, quality training, capable command and modern technology - infusion of a large number of unprepared demotivated "mobica" will only worsen these problems. But the purpose of this action is more tactical: to keep the front by the end of 2023, to give Putin time to freeze the conflict or to reach acceptable diplomatic agreements.

From the rhetoric of Russian speakers, mention of "denacification", "demilitarization" and seizure of large cities of Ukraine were gone. There are no ambitious goals in the Putin War. Number one goal is to keep Putin in power. The purpose of the number one is to save Putin in power Putin himself in public communications now repeats that the purpose of the operation is Donbas. Therefore, the further position of the Kremlin is clear.

They will trade to leave the already occupied territories of Donbass and arrange for the removal of sanctions in exchange for the liberation of southern Ukraine. If Ukraine and the West do not go to it, Putin will try to freeze the conflict along the existing line of contact, and during each next offensive of the Armed Forces to arrange hysterics about the use of nuclear weapons to "protect new regions of Russia, which joined us during referendums.

" The main conclusion from today's Putin's speech is simple - Russia is weak, it will pour and should be pressed. Pseudo -referendums will increase the supply of Western weapons and strengthen sanctions. The announcement of mobilization after the promises of China and India will quickly complete the war will lead to the departure of its situational allies from Russia.