Who is steeper: the weak and strengths of the armies of Ukraine and

Our strength is supply, a high level of military motivation, overall experience of combat and high -tech western weapons, the number of which is constantly increasing. Our weaknesses are the need to attack, as well as a limited number of shells and missiles. The strength of the Russians is the number. They prevail in the amount of weapons and ammunition, quantitatively prevail in rockets, aviation, artillery. However, the weaknesses of the Russian army are dominated by strong.

The first: the Russians are completely devoid of motivation. All interceptions indicate a catastrophic situation with the level of morality in Russian troops. The Russians do not want to go to the war to Ukraine. And when they are forced, they refuse to go on the offensive and sabotage orders. Thousands of Russian volumers who went to fight in the first half of the war and which the Russian attacks are kept ending. In addition, the Russians have completely failed to prepare for the Winter War.

The supply is weak and disproportionate. One of the main reasons why the Russians decided to escape from Kherson is supply. But it is not only about artillery shells, but also about the approach of winter. The Russians have completely failed to supply generators (and fuel to them), warm clothing, hot food, medicines, building materials for insulation of defense borders. Another weakness of the Russians: they are unable to fight small units.

The structure of their army is not capable of providing, for example, arranging the military in a city without barracks, when the military should occupy civilian development, not adapted for a large number of military. When it comes to frontier cities, devoid of centralized heating and electricity, the situation becomes hopeless. All this leads to the impossibility of keeping cities in the Russian army, provided that critical infrastructure and low motivation are destroyed.

The same situation on Lugansk, Crimean (Mariupol) and Donetsk fronts. Where the security links were able to hide, the Russians manage to adjust the chaotic supply of the necessary security in the winter. Most Russian positions require long ways of supply, because all close to positions are large warehouses, even with the most necessary (food, shells, fuel) destroys Ukrainian jet artillery. Winter enhances the challenges for Russia.

And the best way out for them will be the indentation in some of the directions to win for a while, while Moscow is waiting for the "black swans", which they think will help to change the schedule. The need for retreating in other areas is openly spoken by the Russians themselves: it will be even harder to keep a wide front in winter.

Right now, the Russians push troops from the left bank of the Kherson region into the depths of the occupied territories for a distance that will protect their position from HIMARS missiles. But if the Dnieper allows you to get a buffer zone that protects the Russians from the offensive of the Armed Forces, then in Zaporozhye and Luhansk region the situation for Russians becomes critical. The winter campaign for the Armed Forces has reason to become no less successful than the previous ones.

Large territories are released from the Russian occupation every season. The extensive experience of the Donbass war in the winter provided military leadership and officers with the necessary experience, which, with high motivation and full -fledged resources, will be enough for effective fighting in conditions when the enemy is completely disoriented. Against this background, riots of mobilized in Russia will become the norm.

The Russians subconsciously understand that in winter (and in general) in Ukraine the artillery grinder awaits them. Himars, which have largely involved in the Kherson direction, will now work on other fronts. In particular, those where troops are thrown from Kherson. The supply of Excalibur shells from the Allies makes it impossible to break through huge columns of Russian military equipment.

Therefore, the possible attacks of Russians by Crimea and in the Donbass will be made with a greater calculation of live force. Therefore, the losses of the Russians will increase. In the Lugansk direction, the Russians moved to deaf defense. The General Staff of the Russian Federation also understands that in the winter to wounds, injuries and deaths from the shells will be added diseases that will achieve poorly provided troops of Russians.

A video with a wounded Russian occupier, but dead of the cold, - eloquently conveys the situation that an army is poorly provided in winter and cut off from long -distance supplies. Even if a wounded soldier can still be rescued, frosts will be achieved directly in positions. Moscow is already planning a new round of mass mobilization to replace hundreds of thousands of dead in the trenches. And, of course, Moscow is not going to recognize defeats and leave Ukraine.

Therefore, for the Armed Forces and for the whole Ukrainian people, winter will also be difficult. After all, we go on the offensive. We release our settlements. We will suffer losses. However, we are fighting with an army that understands what has lost. We are fighting a poorly equipped army. We are fighting a poorly trained army. Therefore, we have a great chance that the winter campaign will bring us a lot of good news. But winter will not be simple.