"NATO did not give the Black Sea of ​​Russia." Expert - about the start of Sea Breeze and Crimea without a parade of ships on the day of the Navy

Is it somehow related to the agreements on the export of Ukrainian grain? - I do not think there is a direct connection. This is probably a side effect. Of course, the presence of a particular contingent, a NATO group will probably reduce the "appetites" of the Russians to any possible risks and provocations about grain vessels.

But I understand that more important is the political effect, a demonstration that even full -scale aggression of Russia against Ukraine has not been able to disrupt Nativ training Sea Breeze in the Black Sea, which has been held for decades regularly. - Ukraine previously participated in these exercises, Nativ warships were moored to the Odessa port, and before the annexation of Crimea - even to the Crimean ports.

Is the grain outlet corridor from Ukraine, Turkish frigates are in this sense? -There is such a statement in the naval business-a demonstration of the flag. They demonstrate that they are in this place, available, armed, can act in some way. Of course, you can technically attack these ships so that they will not be able to protect Turkish frigates, but it is already a matter of another grade.

It is quite clear that in the case of hostilities, Ukraine cannot participate in exercises, because its military personnel are more important tasks - they are conducting fighting and gaining . . . - they were already difficult in training, although now it is not very easy to fight, forgive for such a paraphrase Truth. - So.

In general, the main message of these exercises, which did not give the Black Sea of ​​Russia, is ready to protect the power of its members and demonstration that the ships of the Black Sea states operating in the Black Sea are located near the routes that ships with Ukrainian grain to Turkey should go. -In a reconnaissance review of the UK Ministry of Defense, it is stated that Russians are afraid to hold a parade in the Crimea on the day of their Navy.

For example, the inhabitants of Sevastopol have always watched with admiration how the cruiser of Moscow passed, and now they would not see him. But they will not have a parade at all. What does it mean to us? And the second part of their message - the Russians will prioritize the destruction of Ukraine's anti -ship capabilities. What do we need to understand this? - Honestly, I am not convinced that the parade is canceled because they are afraid.

It is likely that the forces of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation are significantly dominated by ours are also not endless. It is involved in combat duty, ships need repair, equipment. When a warship is actively operated, it is not the same as operating a car. Even an over -operated car more often needs repair. Warships are even more [necessary]. We remember the very modest parade in Moscow on May 9 because the equipment was involved in Ukraine. This is also the case in Sevastopol.

Ukraine has no means that can hit ships in the Bay of Sevastopol. I think that the question is not in fear, but in the technical complexity of this parade. In order to carry out this parade, it is necessary to disrupt the performance of combat missions, which in the conditions of fighting, of course, no one will go. And an additional factor - you mentioned the death of the cruiser of Moscow.

Its absence in the system will be an unnecessary reminder of the loss, which is politically for the Russians, of course, harmful. - I understand that if they decided to carry out a parade, there would be a few cans, but just more, to look like a large -scale parade, they have no now. There is nothing to paint? - Indeed, if they really went out to the parade, it was less impressive.