The event is offered to negotiate. What new plans have been revealed by Russia at the Valdai Club

Important text, given the site and author. Unlike the Kremlin and/or Articles in the Russian media for persons claiming the role of ideologists, the Valdai Club remains one of the few places of bringing key theses to the external audience. It is not only about toppoliticians in the West and East, but about analysts, journalists, and business authorities. So what is this document? The author is aware and acknowledges that Russia is no longer a key manner player for the US.

Moreover, it speaks directly about the "period of structural redistribution of power and resource potentials in the world", separating a couple of the United States - the states of Asia (to which it refers to the PRC and India). Against this background, the quote-"Russian-American confrontation is now only one of many stories. " He does not write directly that for Russia the only chance of returning to the "higher league" of world politics is to achieve its goals in the war in Ukraine.

But it leads to the right conclusions of the audience. Of course, it is not about Putin's "denacification", "demilitarization" and others "where . . . ". It is a negotiation process against Ukraine through the head of Ukraine, where the Kremlin receives a number of geopolitical concessions and leaves the war without defeat. How to achieve this? There are no new ideas, but there are relatively old theses that began to be woven at the end of the summer of 2022.

It is a blackmail of "long war" and, accordingly, the rising costs of the US and the EU. Moreover, the idea of ​​"predisposing" lived in the minds of Russian elites and in early 2022. Against this background, the tactics of Ukraine's support Sushensov "wraps" in the thesis on the false strategy of the US on "grunting" of Russia instead of a positional game. That is, the contracting systems. At the same time, which logically separates the interests of European states and the United States.

I just give the quote: "Europeans were trusted by the logic proposed by the United States, literally" bought "this proposal. It was that the event would cause Russia a rapid defeat, while a lot of economic resources would be released, relations with Russia will be restored on another platform, More favorable for the EU - it will be a effective strategic action. " But let us return to the blackmail or the thesis of the "protracted war".

Sushensov states (more precisely, trying to convince the reader) that "the confrontation in the military plane has passed into a convenient (Russia) phase of a gradual fracture at the front, and Americans are forced to look for a way out of this situation. " An extremely important thesis that explains the role and essence of Russian pressure throughout the front. The Kremlin does not articulates loud goals, but seeks to maintain high intensity of hostilities.

This nature of the war, in addition to the large number of casualties, requires a lot of resources. Russia in the medium term (up to 3-4 years) has such. Ukraine is fighting, in particular, through external assistance. Accordingly, blackmail is not aimed at us - on our partners. Just a demonstration that costs will rise.

Moreover, speaking of a protracted war and its cost for our partners, Sushentsov is just using a terminology from business, claiming that for the US "relative advantages of owning a Ukrainian asset have already been received, and the cost of maintaining this asset continues to increase. " And, in passing hints at the possibility of scaling problems - the emergence of new points of tension, new wars.

I will also give a quote: "Other tension points in Asia, in the Middle East, Africa, and later in the Western Hemisphere, where Russia and the USA will be on different sides of the barricades, will appear. " The reader of the note is smoothly summarized to the conclusion of the benefit of "negotiating with Russia" here and now. Thus reducing the current costs and protecting yourself from the emergence of a number of new challenges.

A thesis that can find an understanding of a number of American politicians and, most importantly, in a large part of the European political establishment (where Russia has been undergoing appropriate information work for several months). Simply put, the Kremlin sends a simple signal - "let's agree, and the sooner, the better". The idea can be supported by some of our partners or, at least, will be used in the electoral campaigns of 2024 on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean.

And the likelihood of realization of the Putin design, unfortunately, is not zero. In the event of his success, Russia will be able to: that is, Russia returns itself the opportunity to articulate the ambitions of the "Great State" and claim to reformat political dialogues about the future from the conversations of the Peking-Washington couple to a triangle with Moscow or a more complex construction. Here it would be possible to put a point, but it is worthwhile to stay on our role.

Some readers will tell me something like "Ukraine is fighting, and in this role", some will add that "we defend Europe", some will say about values. The problem is that: let's talk about our work. These are diplomats, my colleagues from analytical centers, journalists. Can we play on the field of "rational theses"? Quite.

Here are some examples: therefore, the question here is the formulations and ideas that give you an understanding that they will receive separately the EU and NATO separately from Ukraine after the end of the war. Who we will become what will be the format of regional safety, whether we will have ambitions on neighbors. Will we have resources for this. And finally, what we will do with our economy.