None of the parties plans to give up, so the war will continue. The focus understood what could happen in the war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine. December 2023. Russian troops press in several directions in the east and south of Ukraine. For their part, the forces of defense continue surgery on the left bank of the Dnieper near the village of Krynka, where a bridgehead was created.
The officials of Ukraine recognize that the counter -offensive did not give the expected results, but they do not plan to stop defense forces. World trends at the end of the year are such that military aid packages are delayed. In the United States, Republicans and Democrats are looking for a compromise on the protection of borders from migrants.
Because of this, the last military aid package will be allocated by the end of December 2023, without additional funds, the Pentagon cannot support Ukraine at the current rate. More than 61 billion dollars were hanged in the air. In the European Union, for its part, Hungary hinders Ukraine's allocation of 50 billion euros. The issue is planned on February 1, 2024.
According to media reports, the EU is looking for options how to deprive Hungary of the right of voice so that they cannot block the allocation of assistance. At the same time, it is reported that the European Union has a plan. Also, Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba says that Hungary had been in a decision to have to join the allocation of 50 billion euros. The funds will be allocated in any case, the minister is convinced.
While the largest partner in the US face in political disputes, Germany doubles military assistance from 4 to 8 billion euros. Also, Denmark, Norway and Finland plan to increase the volume of financial and military assistance to Ukraine and plan it a few years ahead. After the re -election in Poland, relations between Kiev and Warsaw are warming. The Czech Republic says that weapons are no longer available for transmission, but they are ready to produce weapons for Kyiv's needs.
The Defense Budget of Ukraine in 2024 will be 1. 16 trillion hryvnias, and the occupiers - 10. 775 trillion rubles (about 4. 5 trillion hryvnias). According to the Ministry of Defense, Ukraine will bet on its own weapons and cooperation with Western partners. There are already known companies that localize enterprises in Ukraine: some of the projects remain non -public. Ukraine also increases its own production: ammunition, armored vehicles, artillery, aircraft and edges, drones.
President Volodymyr Zelensky has publicly announced that Ukraine will produce 1 million FPV-oules. In addition, as the Minister of Strategproom Oleksandr Kamyshin reported, hundreds of long -range drones will be produced in Ukraine. In total, 265. 4 billion hryvnias have allocated 265. 4 billion for the purchase and repair of weapons and equipment of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. Most of the budget will be allocated for payroll payments - UAH 862 billion.
At the same time, the Russian Federation allocates 10. 775 trillions of rubles for 2024 - this is 70% more than in 2023. The Kremlin allocates almost one third of the entire budget for the army and financing of the defense-industrial complex. What needs the funds will not be indicated. There is little about the production of weapons in Ukraine. Among publicly voiced samples are both artillery and ammunition.
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated that 6 Bogdan Caliber 155-mm was produced at Ukrainian enterprises for a month. Also in Ukrainian Truth add that in the development of Bogdan in the form of a trailer howitzer. In the Russian Federation, on December 20, it was stated that the series went to the Coalition-SV SAU, which should allow the occupiers to fight. It is stated that Russian article has a range of 70-80 km.
However, this will require special ammunition, the usual 152 mm shells will not fit. Now there is an absolute advantage in this field of defense, as there are long -range systems and ammunition. For example, the PZH2000 SAU is in connection with the high -precision M982 Excalibur has a firing range up to 48 km. Russian troops have no such systems and shells. Aviation remains for the Russian Federation.
According to the British Research Group of Conflict ArmAment Research, Russian electronics in managed airbots with the UMPC module is becoming more difficult. In addition to the comte-m navigation module, the enemy has added another smart navigation controller. Two batteries to control the eleroron bombs and two servos were added, and Pyropatron was added to open the wings of the UMPC module.
In 2024, F-16 fighters will appear in the arsenal of the Air Force of Ukraine, which now study Ukrainian pilots. The fact of transferring the aircraft themselves is not as important as weapons that will be with it. People's Deputy Alexander Ustinov says that Ukraine is discussing the issue of modernization of F-16 aircraft. It is important to update the radar to see the goals below 110 km.
The F-16 will also be able to fight the Russian Su-34, which now run the controlled bombs without going into the air defense area. F-16 with a modern radar and rockets will be able to attack enemy aircraft or make them unable to throw bombs with impunity. If you return from the air to the ground, the Russian Federation plans to restore the production of a number of samples of equipment. For example, T-80 tanks on Omsktransmash. The tank engines for them have already been stated.
According to the tank historian Andriy Tarasenko, Omsktransmash had a project of modernization of the T-80 tank as opposed . Tanks are not the only example of how the Russian Federation puts into operation "new old" weapons.
In December in Moscow, they were starting that they are starting the serial production Naalsio analytics, 93 artillery installations and 30 reactive artillery installations were knocked out in the Tokmak direction of the Armed Forces, while in the Ukrainian army the losses were 2 reactive systems and 33 arts. other systems and armored vehicles. However, it should be noted that the Russian Federation has repeatedly stated the use of T-14 "Armat" tanks, but no evidence was provided.
It is likely that the Russian Federation exceeds the number of their own developments and their physical quantity. For the most part, these are revived Soviet developments: MALVA SAU, Satellite-SD and others floating tank. In addition to armored vehicles, the production of aircraft, helicopters, air defense and missiles continues. Some areas can even expand despite Western sanctions. In particular, the occupiers opened a plant for the production of anti -aircraft missiles in Moscow.
The 40n6 series can also attack land goals. Their interception requires anti -rocket complexes such as Patriot and SAMP/T, as the ammunition flies in a quasi -plate path. The production of drones-Kamikadze by type of shahd was also established. Despite corruption, the Russian military budget will maintain a resource advantage over Ukraine in the production of weapons.
Therefore, in general, the Russian Federation remains opportunities for fighting and supporting the current pace of battles in technical, material and human plans. Ukraine, for its part, is betting on the production of not only Western weapons, but also the development of its own. Probably, the development of an operative-tactical missile system "Sapsan" or "Grim-2" is ongoing.
It was officially readiness of 60%, and in addition, work is underway to modernize the winged "Neptune" missiles, which can now beat the enemy on Earth, not just on the water. It is unknown whether Ukraine has the opportunity to produce new tanks or APCs, but the T-64BV Tanks of 2022 have already been shown. They were likely to be restored in a full -scale war. The Defense Ministry also announced plans to buy more than 700 armored vehicles for the Ukrainian army.
Currently, a key problem is that all weapons are needed in greater quantities. Without Western aid, Ukraine will be extremely difficult to maintain the current situation. A number of propaganda statements were announced at the recent press conference of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Among them is the fact that Odesa is allegedly a "Russian city", and Ukrainian territories are gifts of Stalin or Lenin. The existential threat to Ukraine remains.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoiga said that "all the tasks" set by President Putin will be achieved. Moreover, he argues that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is moving in many areas and the tasks "are approaching. "In 2024, the Russian military will continue the special operation to fully fulfill the tasks identified by the Supreme Commander," Shoiga said, but did not clarify what the goals.
In Ukrainian intelligence, they specify that the task of the Russian Federation is to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, as well as to keep all the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. According to Vadim Skibitsky, Putin transfers the tasks for the next year. It was not possible to occupy two regions either in 2022 or in 2023. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also held a press conference.
Despite the fact that the counter -offensive did not allow Ukraine to go to the Azov Sea and break the land connection of Crimea with the Russian Federation, the defense forces will continue their struggle. The President said that the Ukrainian troops' operations would no longer be publicly discussed because the summer campaign was widely covered in the media.
The Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces General Valery Zaluzhny on the question of what operations were planned in the winter that war is not a show. It is impossible to comment on what Ukrainian defenders will do. "Otherwise, there will be a show, not a war whose price is human lives. It cannot be talked about in any case," Zaluzhny said.
General Zaluzhny also named the three key positions that the Armed Forces needed: "Armed Forces, and personally, the main thing is that people come to the army and can accomplish the task. I repeat, I need people, I need ammunition and I need a weapon to continue hostilities, "the Armed Forces commander -in -chief said. According to Lieutenant General Chief Cyril Budanov, the transfer of hostilities to the Russian Federation is a good idea.
However, it is not necessary to confuse how the army of Russia does, so it will not be possible to compare it. Also recently, the Head of the Security Service of Ukraine Vasyl Malyuk said that the intelligence service increases work in the rear of the enemy to bring the war closer to the Kremlin. Priority goals include Russian warships, military bases, logistics corridors and other objects. "Planning and preparing its special operations of the SBU carefully chooses goals.
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