"Disconnection" of Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Odessa regions: Energy named future scenarios of rocket strikes of the Russian Federation

Frequent strikes of the Russian army on the energy objects of Ukraine led to the introduction of schedules of power outages. Generation objects, including the largest hydroelectric power plants, become more and more objectives. Focus interviewed by energy experts are convinced that the Russian Federation has moved to the tactics of "off" big cities.

The Armed Forces of Russia on the night of March 29 carried out the fourth month a massive rocket strike on the objects of energy infrastructure of Ukraine. Objects were damaged in Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnytsia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Cherkasy and Chernivtsi regions, in some regions used emergency shutdowns, the Prime Minister of Ukraine Denis Shmigal said. The purpose of the attack is the objects of generation of electricity.

Energy and rescuers are trying to eliminate the consequences, informed by the head of the Ministry of Energy Herman Galushchenko. Ukrenergo announced the introduction of schedules of emergency shutdowns of electricity in Dnipropetrovsk region. Hourly shutdowns in the Kharkiv region also continue. DTEK confirms serious damage to the equipment at three thermal power plants. In general, from the beginning of a full -scale invasion of Russia more than 160 times fired at the company thermal power plant.

In addition, Naftogaz facilities were shot, but the company assures that there were no serious damage. Due to large -scale Russian attacks, the power system of Ukraine has undergone strong destruction. According to Yasno director, Sergei Kovalenko, as a result of shelling on March 22, DTEK lost 50% of generation facilities. How much time and money to recover, they still find out. The largest hydroelectric power plant of Ukraine Dniproges was decommissioned.

The objects of the generation were still the purpose of the Russian army, but now the enemy has become shutdowns of Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Odessa regions, says Vladimir Omelchenko, director of energy programs of the Razumkov Center Razumkov. When the largest TPPs and hydroelectric power plants are struck, the entire energy system of Ukraine is on the verge of stabilization shutdowns. In Kiev, Lviv and in other cities there are possible breaks with electricity.

In general, according to the expert, after massive shelling of the lack of capacity is not observed. The power system is balanced at the expense of imports, but Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Odesa regions lack capacity due to the destruction of high -voltage substations, the expert adds. "Hope is more for imports, solar and wind power plants after increasing daylight. But the question of how alternative sources of energy will overlap destruction.

It all depends on the intensity of attacks," Omelchenko explains. The real purpose of the missile strikes of the Russian army is to actually shut off the major cities of Ukraine. However, it is realized late. Ukrainians should expect a continuation of shelling, but their frequency will depend on the availability of ammunition, emphasizes in a conversation with focus coordinator of the group "Information resistance", military expert Alexander Kovalenko.

"The pauses between the strokes have increased to five days, which indicates a restriction on the formation of ammunition. But all this does not abolish the fact of strikes in the central, northern and western part of the country," the analyst explains. Missile blows will not lead to the destruction of Ukrainian hydroelectric power plants, it requires a weapon that can be compared with tactical nuclear charges.

Ordinary rockets are able to disrupt the structure, create dangerous extreme situations, but it is not necessary to calculate on the destruction of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station, the specialist adds. At the same time, Kovalenko is not inclined to believe that blows to energy - a harbinger of the great summer offensive of the Russians. After the autumn-winter company of 2023-2024, the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces are depleted, especially after the fighting for Avdiivka.

The occupiers are now restore combat capability - not only human but also a mechanized resource. "A large -scale offensive company is unrealistic in the near future. But this does not mean that Russia will not go to local attacks. In the second half of 2024, they may well collect the resource for the offensive at the time of Yar, Kupyansk or in the area Kharkiv's environment, as some editions write, " - summarized the analyst.