Russia is on the eve of social chaos. As the events in Mahachkali almost no hatred boiler

To complete with the external prerequisites of such events (more precisely - in the fact that it could serve as a formal reason for them) - two factors coincided. The first - in Dagestan, there were rumors that "refugees from Israel" will be placed in the Muslim Republic. And in traditional societies as what is dominated by the North Caucasus, rumors are the most explosive channel for information dissemination.

Even if these rumors - about a two -headed cow, in the conditions of excitement, emotional tension and in the conditions of traditional society - ignites. The second - Israel, in fact, expanded the ground operation in the Gaza sector. What they did not forget to report the Russian media, and the lighter worked. Further issues of technology. It was necessary to make a corresponding hand about passengers arriving from Tel Aviv. And it ignited. True, who exactly did, we do not know exactly.

It can be both a local elitist struggle and a special operation of the FSB, as well as a religious double. But this is not significant. Because, apparently, the situation was a little out of control. And instead of protests, a scandal was released, in which the Russian authorities did not plan to get. And demonstration of weakness. And this is much more indicative of the overall level of social tension. Demonstrates the "temperature" inside the boiler, which is the Russian Federation as such.

And its southern regions - especially. Let me remind you that Dagestan was the most active movement against mobilization. And she really was restricted there. And it shows that the problem has been managed with the problem. This is now hatred, tension and aggression aimed at Ukrainians, and now for Jews. But the object of hate and aggression can change quickly. And we have seen it and see it constantly.

"Russian nationalist" (in fact the Nazis) hate Kadyrov and all Chechens without parsing, cadirovts or normal. Chechen - Russians. Muslims are "Orthodox", and vice versa. "Russian" - all "innovations". The problem of aggressive hatred propaganda, which Putin has been consistently cultivated in the year, from 2005 to Americans, Western values, Ukrainians, etc. - relatively easy to ignite. But to drive the gin into the bottle is much more complicated.

And when the level of internal stress passes a certain limit - hatred and aggression ricochet in the initiator. And the society that the initiator runs. Therefore, what I saw in Dagestan inspires me. Of course, the West will continue to be afraid of chaos in Russia. And it is clear why. But the moment when the internal escalation will threaten the existence not of Putin's regime, but the Russian Federation as a state is a matter of time.

And we are not with you, not the event, not Putin will determine the course of events. Because such complex social processes as the cultivation of hatred and accumulation of aggression can be started, but it is impossible to control. And when it explodes, exactly and what consequences it will lead to anyone now. Even if he thinks he knows. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position. The author is responsible for published data in the "Thought" section.