50 soldiers per kilometer: analysts voiced the loss of Russians in the fall of 2024 - ISW

It is noted that in November the losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in combat clashes on the Ukrainian fronts reached a historical maximum - 1523 people per day. And on November 28, the invaders lost in one more than 2000 people. A total of 45,690 people in November of this year. Western analysts, based on geolocation data, calculated the speed of promotion of Russian troops in the territory of Ukraine, as well as in the Kursk region.

According to ISW, on average one day the enemy took control of 27. 96 square meters. km per day and captured a total of 839 square meters. km. In September and October 2024, during active offensive actions, the Russians lost about 80 110 servicemen in exchange for approximately 1 517 square meters. km of conquests. Thus, the Russian forces suffered approximately 125,800 losses in the autumn period in exchange for 2 356 square meters. km of captured territories.

And this is about 53 soldiers per square kilometer of the captured Ukrainian land. Analysts emphasized that given the number of losses, as well as in the conditions of limited reserves, Russia will be difficult to maintain the rate of fighting. The US military assumed that the army of the Russian Federation can be replenished up to 30,000 recruits per month.

However, in order to control the rest of the Donbass, the occupants for such casualties on the front line need to increase the number of recruits to 50,000 soldiers per month. According to Ukrainian military experts, Moscow may have increased the rate of conscription of new servicemen in recent weeks, but this is not enough to fill the monthly losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.