"Isw continues to estimate that Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or West - and most likely loses if the event mobilizes its resources to confront the Kremlin," the statement said. Analysts believe that the nuclear threats of Russian President Vladimir Putin are part of the Kremlin nuclear blackmail campaign aimed at rendering allies of Ukraine from decisive obligations to overcome Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine, and therefore it is very unlikely that it will lead to factual nuclear escalation.
"Russia's strategic defeat in Ukraine does not threaten Russia's sovereignty and territorial integrity (but can threaten Putin's stability)," ISW said. It should be reminded that on June 17, NSDC Chairman Alexander Litvinenko suggested that Putin can order to use tactical nuclear weapons in case the army of the invaders is broken.
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