5 paths to a truce - as Trump can bow to Putin to an agreement and what can interfere with that

The consent of Ukraine has been marked repeatedly. There is no consent of Russia. Representatives of the US administration several times invited Putin to negotiate and refused.

Why? Because from Putin's point of view, he is all right: there is still money (although the national welfare fund is burned by 2/3), there are still people (although they do not pick up the required quantities, but look and find different sources - Zeks, then Koreans, Now the losers have been hardened), military equipment is still a little left (but it needs everything in smaller quantities), the economy still holds (although the problems are growing), the tankers go, and most importantly - there is a daily advancement of the front line (although less and less).

The upper elites consist of the beneficiaries of war, the middle elites are intimidated by the expectations of rotation, the remains of the middle class live in artificial comfort, the rest sit quietly and grumble in the kitchens. In this mode, you can fight for a long time. What to do Trump to force Putin to talk? There are many options. There are no quick levers, and therefore 24 hours turned into 72, then 100 days, then for six months.

They promise to present a peace plan in March, but will not present. They will show a large bubble, inside which is a void. I continue to consider the scenario I described the earlier described earlier, in which Trump is generally turning away from the war in Europe (that is, the Russian-Ukrainian war), throwing over all responsibility to Europeans. It will be unpleasant for him to do it because he hoped to look a super-interior and a historic peacekeeper.