By Eliza Popova
Analysts doubt that occupation formations will carry out a new land offensive from the territory of Belarus, despite the statement of President Alexander Lukashenko that he had agreed with Vladimir Putin about the deployment of a regional group of troops of the Union State. The ISW report also stated that the official Minsk plans to accommodate up to 20,000 Russian servicemen who were drafted into the ranks of the Armed Forces within partial mobilization.
"Russia hopes to use Belarusian military facilities and infrastructure for the placement and potential training of recently mobilized Russian forces, but remains extremely unlikely that these are leading indicators of future Belarus participation in the war against Ukraine on behalf of Russia.
The Kremlin may seek to use additional Russian forces in Belarus To fix the Ukrainian forces near Kiev and prevent their redeployment to other places to participate in counter -offensives, " - suggest analysts at the Institute of War Study. ISW believes that the regime of Alexander Lukashenko cannot afford to participate in a full military aggression against Ukraine because of internal political consequences.
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