The Kremlin will prepare. Why the truce will be temporary and what does it mean to militarize Ukraine

New investments will not just need - they will have to grow multiple. This is the paradox of the armistice: in order for aggression not to be repeated, you are inserted into your army. For example, after the devastating war of Judgment Day (1973), Israel has increased the share of GDP released to the defense - it reached a fantastic 30% of GDP. It was twice as much as health care, education and social support in general.

That is, such dragon expenditures occurred after the war and ceasefire with Syria and Egypt, not before. If Ukraine is forced to freeze, and the front of the frost, and the intensity of hostilities will dramatically decrease - for Kiev it will be a window of opportunities for military construction and reforms. It is important to note here that 70% of problems (if not more in fact) that are observed today in the defense forces of Ukraine are structural problems.

That is, it is impossible to solve them without complete processing of bases, and sometimes without the replacement of structures literally from scratch. This cannot be done when intense fighting is constantly on the front. But any reforms require enormous financial investments: disbanding entire structures, creating new, re-regulation of regulations, statutes and regulations-all this is not painless and requires a kind of "airbag", which is finance first. That's about this and says Macron.

But not only he is the German leader Friedrich Merz, and other European partners have repeatedly emphasized that Ukraine's support will continue in the case of freezing. For Ukrainians, this will be an important and key window of opportunity to restructure their army.